INTERNATIONAL POLICY ANALYSIS The Future of Nuclear Weapons in NATO IAN ANTHONY AND JOHNNY JANSSEN April 2010 In 2010 five Allies have called for a discussion of NATO’s nuclear policy with the objective of reducing the importance of nuclear weapons in Alliance security policy. Allies continue to see a role for nuclear weapons as part of a mix of capabilities needed to guarantee their security in an uncertain and fragmented international system. While NATO will continue to be a nuclear alliance, important aspects of nuclear policy may be adjusted in line with present economic, political and strategic realities. Whether nuclear weapons will only deter nuclear attacks or play a role in deterring other forms of aggression is ripe for discussion. Neither the feasibility nor the desirability of tailoring nuclear deterrence to new and emerging threats has been explained or discussed in Europe. The passage of time has put the credibility of short-range nuclear forces in doubt. National plans of nuclear weapon states, NATO enlargement, the retirement of many nuclear weapons and the aging of nuclear-capable aircraft have challenged the stated rationale for maintaining US nuclear weapons in Europe: Alliance solidarity and trans-Atlantic reassurance.
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