05. 2010 EDITORIAL Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren, liebe Freundinnen und Freunde der Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, das Jahresende 2012 war für die Palästinensischen Gebiete noch einmal mehr als ereignisreich. Zur vorhersehbaren Antragstellung in der UN-Vollversammlung am 29. November, die eine Aufwertung zum Beobachterstatus mit sich führte, kam noch die Eskalation der Gaza Krise Mitte November. Die politischen Ereignisse auf diplomatischer Ebene sowie der Gaza Krieg hatten selbstverständlich Auswirkungen auf die Stimmung auf der Straße in Palästina, was wir mit einer erneuten Durchführung einer Meinungsumfrage unseres Partners, dem Jerusalem Media and Communication Center dokumentieren wollten. Festzuhalten ist, dass die Aufwertung zu Beobachterstatus bei der UN der politischen Führung der West Bank den vorrübergehenden Zuspruch der Bevölkerung sicherte. Hielten bei der letzten Umfrage Anfang November noch weniger als die Hälfte der Palästinenser den UN-Antrag vor der Vollversammlung für profitabel, so bewerteten ihn nun 74.9% als im Sinne der nationaler Interessen Palästinas. 64.4% der Befragten sahen zudem eine Aufwertung der politischen Arbeit der Fatah in der Öffentlichkeit gegeben. Der Erfolg auf der Ebene der internationalen Diplomatie nährte zudem den Wunsch nach Wahlen und politischen Reformen im eigenen Land. 86.2% der Befragten waren überzeugt von der Notwendigkeit von Wahlen um die PLO zu reformieren. Auch die Hamas konnte politisch vom Gazakrieg profitieren. Im Vergleich zur letzten Um frage im November 2012 kann die Hamas einen Gewinn von 12% verzeichnen und läge bei Parlamentswahlen momentan bei 28.1%. Damit verringert sie den Abstand zur Fatah, die 38.3% für sich verbuchen kann, erheblich. Auch wenn die Unterstützung für den Einsatz von Gewalt gegen Israel im Vergleich zum Gazakrieg 2009 gestiegen ist, setzt eine Mehrheit von 62.3% noch immer auf friedliche Mittel als erfolgversprechendste Strategie zur Beendigung der israelischen Besatzung. Unterstützten im Januar 2011 nur 29.3% Militäreinsätze gegen Israel, lag die Zahl im Dezember 2012 jedochbei 50.9%; 74% beurteilten Raketenangriffe auf Israel aus Gaza als förderlich. Nationale und internationale Positionen während der Gaza Krise wurden sehr unterschiedlich bewertet. Während die sehr starke Unzufriedenheit mit der Positionierung westlicher Staaten nicht überrascht, ist das hohe Maß an Zufriedenheit der Bevölkerung in Gaza mit der Solidarität der West Bank hervor zu heben. Lag diese Zahl nach dem Ende des Gaza-Kriegs 2009 noch bei überschaubaren 58.7%, stieg sie im Jahre 2012 auf beachtliche 85.1% an. Aus regionaler Sicht ist zudem der Aufstieg Ägyptens zum gewünschten Mediator bei zukünftigen Verhandlungen zwischen Israel und Palästina bemerkenswert. Dieses Modell fand bei den Befragten eine Zustimmung von 49.4%, während die UN nur von 17.9% als Mediator gewünscht wird. Im Anhang finden Sie die komplette Stu die im PDF-Format. Viel Vergnügen bei der Lektüre! Mit den besten Grüßen aus Jerusalem Ihr Team der FES-Ost-Jerusalem Design: eryfoto Seite 1

Jerusalem Office Tel.:+972-2-532 83 98 Fax:+972-2-581 96 65 Email: info@fespal.org www.fespal.org Web: POBox: 25047 Jerusalem Tel: 022976555 Fax: 022976557 Email: poll@jmcc.org Website: www.jmcc.org Poll no. 78_December 2012 A public opinion poll conducted by the Jerusalem Media& Communications Centre following the Gaza war and the UN status upgrade Rise in the percentage of supporters of armed resistance Majority believes Hamas was the winning side during the war on Gaza Egypt emerges as the preferred mediator for negotiations with Israel Rise in popularity of President Abbas; drop in popularity of Fatah and rise in Hamas’ popularity Overwhelming majority support President Abbas heading to the UN and call for the reform of the PLO. Two weeks after the end of the war, a public opinion poll conducted by the JMCC, with support of Friedrich-Ebert- Stiftung East Jerusalem, aimed at studying the impact of the Gaza war and the UN initiative. Results indicate that there is a rise in the percentage of supporters of armed resistance among the Palestinian public. The majority of the public was also content with the decision of the Palestinian leadership to head to the UN. According to the poll, which included a sample of 1,199 people with a margin of error of +/- 3%, there was a noticeable rise in the popularity of President Mahmoud Abbas while there was a drop in the popularity of Fatah and an increase in Hamas’ popularity, which still remained lower than Fatah’s popularity. Similarly, there was a noticeable improvement in the public’s stance and satisfaction with the role of Egypt and the Muslim Brotherhood while their stance remained negative towards the United States and Europe in general during the latest war on Gaza. Page 1

The latest Gaza war The majority of those polled,(70.6%) considered Hamas to be the winning side during the recent war waged by Israel on Gaza. This constituted a noticeable rise in comparison to the Gaza war in 2009 when 46.7% said that Hamas was the winning side in the war(JMCC poll from January 2009). In comparison, 21.9% said neither Hamas nor Israel were the winning sides in the 2012 war in comparison to 37.4% who said the same thing in January 2009. Furthermore, 87.3% said Israel would have waged a war on Gaza in all cases while only 8.2% said the war could have been avoided by the Palestinians. 79.4% said Israel targeted civilians during the war while only 14.8% said Hamas was hiding among civilians during the 2012 war. The war and international and local positions Regarding the satisfaction of the public with the level of solidarity in generalduring the Gaza w ar, the poll showed a discrepancy in people’s opinions in this regard. Satisfaction with Fatah in this poll was 78.3% and 75.5% with President Mahmoud Abbas. However, upon comparison between the percentage of satisfaction with the level of solidarity between the recent war and the war in 2009, there was a rise in the level of satisfaction with the performance of the West Bank, standing at 85.1% while it was 58.7% in a poll conducted in January 2009. Satisfaction with Egypt was 90.1% while in the 2009 it was 35.1%. Satisfaction with the Muslim Brotherhood was 72.9% in the 2012 poll while it was 57.6% in the 2009 poll. Moreover, 76.7% of respondents showed satisfaction with Turkey in the 2012 poll while it stood at 89.6% in 2009. Furthermore, there is still a rise in the dissatisfaction with the performance of Western countries and international organizations. Dissatisfaction ranged from 93.4% with the US, 83.3% with Britain and 82.5% with Germany to 58.9% with the UN and 58.9% with the EU The resistance and rockets There was a rise in the percentage of those who considered that the locally-made rockets fired from the Gaza Strip towards Israeli regions are helpful, from 25.4% in April, 2011 to 74% in December 2012, while the percentage of those who believe the rockets were harmful dropped from 38.6% in April 2011 to 9.7% in this 2012 poll. At the same time, there was a rise in the percentage of those who support the resumption of military operations against Israeli targets as an appropriate response in the current political situation, from 29.3% in January 2011 to 50.9% in the current December 2012 poll. Likewise, there was a drop in opponents to military operations who believe they are harmful to Palestinian interests from 56.3% to 42% in the same time period. The poll also showed a rise in supporters of armed resistance among the Palestinian public from 25.2% in November 2012 to 32.6% in this December 2012 poll. Nonetheless, an overwhelming majority of 62.3% peaceful negotiations and non-violent resistance as the best methods to achieve an end to the occupation. The United Nations Regarding the Palestinian leadership heading to the UN and the status upgrade of Palestine’s representation, 74.9% said this was a good move that served Palestinian national interests while 5.8% only said it was a bad move that harmed Palestinian national interests. Furthermore, 74.6% expressed their satisfaction with the leadership’s decision to take this step. In terms of how the UN bid influenced public opinion on Fatah Fatah, 64.4% said it had a positive impact in comparison to 5.1% that said it had a negative impact and 27.9% that said it did not have either Page 2

a negative or positive impact. Furthermore, 86.2% of those polled said going to the UN and Palestine obtaining a non-member state status confirms the need to hold elections in order to reform the PLO compared to 8.1% who said the opposite. Page 3

Parties and leaderships and their popularity The poll showed a large rise in the public’s trust in President Mahmoud Abbas from 17.9% in April 2011 to 30.1% in December 2012. There was also a slight rise in the public’s trust in Ismail Haniyeh from 11.4% to 17.3%. At the same time, there was a drop in the people’s trust in Fatah from 39.2% in the June 2011 poll to 34.9% in the December 2012 poll as opposed to a rise in the public’s trust in Hamas from 16.6% to 26% in the same time period. A question was also posed if respondents would vote for Fatah, Hamas or other parties in Legislative Council elections if they were held today. 38.5% said they would vote for Fatah while 28.2% said they would vote for Hamas. 43% said they would vote for President Mahmoud Abbas for the Palestinian presidency if he ran against Ismail Haniyeh, for whom 29.4% said they would vote in such elections. Page 4

Methodology: A random sample of 1 199 people over the age of 18 was interviewed face-to-face throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip between 6 th and 11 th of December 2012. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 130 sampling points chosen randomly according to population. In the West Bank 749 people were surveyed from the following areas: Hebron: Halhul, Yatta, Hebron, Idhna, Beit Kahil, As- samu’, Bani Na’im, Ash-shuyukh, Ar-rihiya, Imreish, al‘Arrub refugee camp. Jenin: jenin, Jaba’, Qabatiya, Silat al-Harithiya, Siris, Ajja, Misliya, Jenin refugee camp. Tubas: Tubas, Aqaba. Ramallah& al-Bireh: Al-Bireh, Al-Ith ihad, Beituniya, Beit liqya, Kobar, Ein‘Arik, Der abu Misha’l, Shuqba, Al-Jalazun refugee camp.. Jericho: Jericho, Nwi’meh. Jerusalem: Al-Ram, Al-Dahyeh, Biddo, Beit Ikssa, Beit Hanina, Shu’fat, Old City, Jabal al Mukaber, Ras Al-Amoud, Qalandia refugee camp. Bethlehem: Ad-doha, Beit Jala, Al-Khader, Battir, Ad-duheisha refugee camp.. Nablus: Nablus, Awarta, Ijnisinya, As-sawiya, Salim, Ein Beit al Ma’ refugee camp. Salfit: Biddya, Burqin Tulkarem: Tulkarem, Qoffin, Shufa, Seida. . Qalqilya: Qalqiliya, Kafr Thulth. . In the Gaza Strip 450 people were surveyed from Gaza: al-Rimal a-Shamali, a-Rimal a-Janoubi, a-Zeitoun, a- Shuja’ia, a-Tufah, a-Daraj, a-Naser, a-Sheikh Radwan,asheikh Ajleen, Tal al-Hawa, al-Mughraga, Shati Refugee Camp. Khan Younis: Khan Younis, Absan al-Kabira, Abasan al-Saghira, Bani Suheila, al- Qarara, Khuza’, Khan Younis Refugee Camp. Rafah: Rafah, Shouket a-Soufi, Rafah Refugee Camp. Gaza North: Jabalia, Beit Lahia, Jabalia Refugee Camp, Beit Hanoun. Deir al-Balah: Deir al-Balah, Burij,-Zawaydeh, Nussirat, al-Maghazi Refugee Camp, Bureij Refugee Camp, Deir al-Balah RefugeeCamp. The margin of error is ±3 percent, with a confidence level of 95%. Sample Distribution 52.5% of the respondents were from the West Bank,9.9% from Jerusalem, 37.6% from the Gaza Strip. 16.3% said they live in villages, 9.6% in refugee camps, and 74.1% in towns/cities. 50.8% were male, 49.2% were female. 70.1% were married, 25.1%, single, 3.8% widowed, 0.9% divorced, 0.1% no answer. The average age of the respondents was 36 years. Occupation of Respondents × Students 14.0% × Laborers 9.5% × Housewives35.4% × Farmers/fishermen 2.2% × Craftsmen 0.9% × Businessmen/private business 9.1% × Public Sector Employees11.3% × Private Sector Employees 5.5% × Professionals(e.g. doctors/lawyers/ pharmacists/engineers)1.0% × Unemployed 8.8% × Retired 1.8%, × No answer 0.5%. Page 5

Results: Q1. To what extent do you feel optimistic or pessimistic regarding the future in general? Would you say that you are very optimistic, optimistic, pessimistic, or very pessimistic? Very optimistic Optimistic Pessimistic Very pessimistic No answer Total n= 1199 11.7 64.8 18.6 4.5 0.4 West Bank n= 749 9.6 64.5 19.0 6.3 0.6 Gaza n=450 15.1 65.3 18.0 1.6 0.0 Q2. In general, what is the best method to achieve the Palestinian people’s goals of ending the occupation and establishing a state? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n=450 Peaceful negotiations 40.4 45.3 32.2 Armed resistance(armed 32.6 26.0 43.6 Intifada) Non-violent resistance 21.9 22.0 21.8 (peaceful Popular Intifada) Other 1.5 1.3 1.8 I don’t know\ no answer 3.6 5.4 0.6 Q3. There is a debate on the future of the PNA whereby some people believe that dissolving the PNA is necessary now while others believe that the perpetuation of the PNA and maintaining it is a necessity. What do you think? Dissolving the PNA is necessary Perpetuating and maintaining the PNA is a necessity I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 20.0 74.9 5.1 West Bank n= 749 23.1 71.4 5.5 Gaza n= 450 14.9 80.7 4.4 Page 6

Q4. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, strongly disagree with peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 Strongly agree 22.4 27.4 14.2 Somewhat agree 38.5 38.3 38.9 Somewhat disagree 18.8 15.8 23.8 Strongly disagree 17.8 14.8 22.7 I don’t know\ no answer 2.5 3.7 0.4 Q5. If negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians were to be resumed, who would you prefer to act as mediator between the two sides? Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n=450 The United States 1.5 2.0 0.7 The European Union 10.8 13.5 6.2 The Mideast Quartet 10.6 11.5 9.1 The United Nations 17.9 19.5 15.3 Egypt 49.4 40.5 64.2 I don’t know\ no answer 9.8 13.0 4.5 Q6. Now that the Gaza war has ended, who do you think is the winning side? Israel, Hamas, Israel and Hamas or neither Israel nor Hamas? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 Israel 1.8 1.7 1.8 Hamas 70.6 72.0 68.4 Israel and Hamas 3.0 2.0 4.7 Neither Israel nor Hamas 21.9 20.8 23.6 I don’t know\ no answer 2.7 3.5 1.5 Q7. Hamas accuses Israel of targeting the civilians in this war while Israel accuses Hamas of hiding among the civilians, what do you think? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n=450 Hamas was hiding among the 1.7 1.5 2.0 civilians Israel was targeting the 79.4 78.1 81.6 civilians Hamas was hiding among the 14.8 14.4 15.6 civilians and Israel targeted the civilians I don’t know\ no answer 4.1 6.0 0.8 Page 7

Q8. Now that the Gaza war has ended, do you believe that it was possible for the Palestinian side to avoid it, or was Israel planning to launch the war in all cases? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 Palestinians could have 8.2 7.1 10.0 avoided it Israel planned to launch the 87.3 87.7 86.7 war in all cases I don’t know\ no answer 4.5 5.2 3.3 Q9. To what extent are you satisfied with West Bank solidarity with the Gaza Strip during the war? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n=450 Very satisfied 49.8 45.7 56.7 Somewhat satisfied 35.3 36.2 33.8 Somewhat dissatisfied 10.5 11.5 8.9 Very dissatisfied 3.3 4.9 0.6 I don’t know\ no answer 1.1 1.7 0.0 Q10- To what extent are you satisfied with the role of the following countries, organizations, leaders and parties in the Gaza war? Very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Total West Bank Gaza 1-France n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 Very satisfied 6.0 6.9 4.4 Somewhat satisfied 19.7 23.0 14.2 Somewhat dissatisfied 17.8 15.2 22.2 Very dissatisfied 48.2 42.7 57.3 I don’t know\ no answer 8.3 12.2 1.9 2- Britain Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 0.3 7.3 19.2 64.1 9.1 West Bank n= 749 0.4 7.1 16.2 62.8 13.5 Gaza n= 450 7.8 24.2 66.2 1.8 0.0 Page 8

3- Germany Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer 4- The United States Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer 5- Egypt Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer 6- Qatar Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 0.5 7.3 19.4 63.1 9.7 Total n= 1199 0.3 1.3 7.5 85.9 5.0 Total n= 1199 54.7 35.4 4.7 3.3 1.9 Total n= 1199 32.6 40.1 14.4 17.8 4.1 West Bank n= 749 0.8 8.3 17.8 59.1 14.0 West Bank n= 749 0.5 1.3 6.5 84.0 7.7 West Bank n= 749 46.2 40.9 5.9 4.0 3.0 West Bank n= 749 19.1 39.7 14.4 20.4 6.4 Gaza n= 450 5.8 22.2 69.6 2.4 0.0 Gaza n= 450 0.0 1.1 9.1 89.1 0.7 Gaza n= 450 68.9 26.4 2.7 2.0 0.0 Gaza n= 450 31.1 40.9 14.4 13.6 0.0 Page 9

7- Fatah Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 39.0 39.3 12.3 6.5 2.9 8- The Muslim Brotherhood Movement in Egypt Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 31.6 41.3 13.8 8.6 4.7 9- The UN Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 7.8 27.4 23.9 35.0 5.9 10-The EU Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 6.7 28.4 25.7 33.2 6.0 West Bank n= 749 38.2 38.5 10.0 8.8 4.5 West Bank n= 749 27.4 41.8 15.1 9.1 6.6 West Bank n= 749 10.5 30.7 17.8 32.0 9.1 West Bank n= 749 8.5 33.6 17.9 30.7 9.3 Gaza n= 450 40.4 40.7 16.0 2.7 0.2 Gaza n= 450 38.7 40.4 11.6 7.8 1.5 Gaza n= 450 3.0 22.0 34.2 40.0 0.8 Gaza n= 450 3.6 19.8 38.7 37.3 0.6 Page 10

11-Mahmoud Abass(Abu Mazen) Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 38.3 37.2 12.6 8.9 3.0 12-Iran Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 19.5 36.6 17.8 20.1 6.0 13-Hizbullah Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 16.8 37.0 20.6 20.0 5.6 14-Turkey Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 37.3 39.4 8.6 10.0 4.7 West Bank n= 749 39.8 35.1 9.6 10.7 4.8 West Bank n= 749 22.2 36.8 13.9 18.0 9.1 West Bank n= 749 21.1 36.6 15.0 18.8 8.5 West Bank n= 749 35.5 40.5 7.3 9.5 7.2 Gaza n= 450 35.8 40.7 17.6 5.9 0.0 Gaza n= 450 15.1 36.2 24.4 23.6 0.7 Gaza n= 450 9.6 37.8 30.0 22.0 0.6 Gaza n= 450 40.2 37.6 10.7 10.9 0.6 Page 11

Q11. Do you think that the locally-made rockets fired from Gaza strip towards Israeli regions help,harm,or don’t make any difference with regards to the Palestinian goals? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n=450 Help 74.0 70.6 79.6 Harm 9.7 10.5 8.2 Don’t make any difference 13.5 15.0 11.1 Other 0.3 0.3 0.2 I don’t know\ no answer 2.5 3.6 0.9 Q12. Do you support the continuation of military operations against Israeli targets as an appropriate response under current political conditions or do you oppose them and believe they harm Palestinian national interests? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 An appropriate response 50.9 48.7 54.4 under current political conditions Oppose them and believe they 42.0 41.0 43.6 harm Palestinian national interests Others 1.1 1.1 1.1 I do n’t know\ no answer 6.0 9.2 0.9 Q13. The Palestinian leadership has recently ceased its participation in bilateral negotiations with Israel and it has turned to the UN. To what extent are you satisfied with this matter? Would you say that you are: satisfied, neither satisfied nor dissatisfied, or you are dissatisfied? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n=450 Satisfied 74.6 71.3 80.2 Neither satisfied nor 16.4 16.6 16.2 dissatisfied Dissatisfied 7.1 9.5 3.1 I don’t know\ no answer 1.9 2.6 0.4 Page 12

Q14. What is the impact of the Palestinian leadership’s approach to the UN on you stance towards Fatah Movement. Is the impact positive, negative, or neither positive nor negative? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n=749 n= 450 Positive impact 64.4 57.4 76.0 Negative impact 5.1 5.9 3.8 Neither positive nor negative 27.9 33.1 19.3 I don’t know\ no answer 2.6 3.6 0.9 Q15. The Palestinian leadership recently headed to the UN to obtain an upgrade in Palestine's status at the UN. Do you believe this is a good step that serves Palestinian national interests, a bad step that harms Palestinian national interests or a step that won't make any difference? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 A good step that serves 74.9 70.8 81.8 Palestinian national interests A bad step that harms 5.8 7.6 2.9 Palestinian national interests The step won’t make any 17.2 18.4 15.1 difference I don’t know\ no answer 2.1 3.2 0.2 Q16. Now, after the UN General Assembly recognized Palestine as a non-member state, to what extent do you agree or disagree on the need to hold elections to reform the PLO? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree I don’t know No answer Total n= 1199 50.0 36.2 5.8 2.3 4.8 0.9 West Bank n= 749 46.2 36.0 7.2 2.7 6.4 1.5 Gaza n= 450 56.2 36.4 3.6 1.8 2.0 0.0 Page 13

Q17. Which political or religious faction do you trust the most?* Total West Bank n= 1199 n= 749 Fatah 34.9 32.2 Hamas 26.0 21.8 PFLP 2.9 3.2 Other Islamic factions 3.5 1.7 Others 2.8 2.7 I don’t trust anyone 21.7 26.3 No answer 8.2 12.1 Gaza n= 450 39.3 33.1 2.4 6.4 2.9 14.0 1.9 *This was an open-ended question no options were read to the interviewee Q18. Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most?* Mahmoud Abass(Abu Mazen) Ismail Haniyeh Khaled Misha’l Marwan al-Barghouthi Ahmad Sa’adat Others I don’t trust anyone No answer Total n= 1199 30.1 17.3 6.0 4.2 2.2 9.9 22.3 8.0 West Bank n= 749 29.8 12.3 5.7 3.1 2.5 7.3 27.0 12.3 Gaza n= 450 30.7 25.8 6.4 6.0 1.6 14.2 14.4 0.9 *This was an open-ended question no options were read to the interviewee Q 19- If PLC elections were to take place today, which of the following parites would you vote for? Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n= 450 Fatah 38.3 36.0 42.0 Hamas 28.1 24.4 34.2 PFLP 3.4 3.6 3.1 PNI 1.6 1.1 2.4 PPP 1.0 1.2 0.7 DFLP 0.5 0.4 0.7 Others 1.9 1.5 2.7 I won’t vote 15.8 19.0 10.4 I don’t know 5.5 7.5 2.2 No answer 3.9 5.3 1.6 Page 14

Q20- If PLC elections were held today, which of the following parties would you vote for? Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n= 450 Fatah 38.5 36.2 42.4 Hamas 28.2 24.6 34.2 Other parties 9.8 9.2 10.7 I won’t vote 17.1 20.6 11.3 No answer 6.4 9.4 1.4 Q21- If presidential elections were held today, with Ismael Haniyeha and Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) as the only candidates running the elections, for which one of them would you vote? Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n=450 Mahmoud Abass(Abu Mazen) 43.0 40.3 47.3 Ismail Haniyeh 29.4 26.3 34.4 I don’t know 14.1 15.4 12.0 No answer 13.5 18.0 6.3 Page 15