Palestinian Territories 06/2015 EDITORIAL Please find attached the latest public opi nion poll conducted by the Jerusalem Me dia and Communication Centre(JMCC) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip in Au gust 2015. While rumours continue to fly around Mahmoud Abbas’ future as Palestinian Pre sident, there appears to be no clear popu lar successor should he step down. While the imprisoned Marwan Barghouti remains popular on the Palestinian street- 10.5% of respondents would vote him for him in presidential elections – Saeb Erekat, who is reportedly being groomed as Fatah’s fu ture leader, faces an uphill challenge con vincing the Palestinian electorate he is the right man for the job. In fact, only 3.3% of those polled would vote for him if presidential elections were to be held. Yet with no clear end to his tenure in sight, Abbas has much left to do to ensure his popularity ratings do not fall. The number of respondents who trust the President dropped from 21.8% in March 2015 to 16.1%. Similarly fewer Palestinians, 17.3%, believe the govern ment is dealing with the administration of its finances in a transparent fashion, down from 24.3% two years ago. Be that as it may, a large percentage of Palestinians, 52.4%, are still somewhat or very satis fied with the way Abbas is dealing with his job as president of the Palestinian National Authority(PNA) and 57.4% of respondents evaluated the performance of the PNA as good or very good. This goes someway to explain the signi ficant – and growing – gap in support for Palestine’s two main political factions. Whereas 37.7% of respondents said they would vote for Fatah in national elec tions in March of this year, this figure now stands at 41.1%. Likewise support for Ha mas has dropped from 22% in March 2015 to 20.2%. Turning to Gaza, and despite headlines about ISIS-infiltration of the strip, the poll shows that the perception among Ga zans is that the presence of ISIS is insi gnificant: 78.7% claimed the group has little or no presence in Gaza. At the same time, 25.6% of Gazans are moderately or very sympathetic to Salafi groups challen ging Hamas’ authority and 27.3% blame Hamas for the persisting division between Fatah and Hamas. Thus it would seem that Hamas is struggling to regain legitimacy in the strip and Gazans are growing tired of its authority. In light of ongoing discus sions about a mediated long term peace fire, a high number of Gazans, 59.1%, be lieve a truce will be reached between Ha mas and Israel. It remains to be seen how these respondents will react should their hopes of a truce be dashed in the coming weeks. Finally, a majority of Palestinians, 58.9%, wants legislative and presidential elections regardless of Palestinian reconciliation, a large majority, 82.9%, think it is impor tant that Palestinian legislative council elections are held and 81.5% think it is important that presidential elections are held. Dissatisfaction and uncertainty may prevail, but Palestinians underlining desire to cast their vote and shape their own fu ture survives. While encouraging Palesti nian unity and reviving peace negotiations are worthy causes, the poll clearly shows that the international community ought not to lose sight of the unique power of the ballot box. Design: ery foto Seite 1 Jerusalem Office Tel.:+972-2-532 83 98 Fax:+972-2-581 96 65 Email: info@fespal.org Web: www.fespal.org PO Box: 25047 – Jerusalem 2976557 Fax: 02- 2976555 Tel. 02Email: poll@jmcc.org Website: www.jmcc.org Poll No. 84- August 2015 Public opinion poll conducted by the Jerusalem Media and Communication Centre Uncertainty over a successor: What if President Abbas does not run for president again Setback in trust in the government and political personalities Majority wants elections even without reconciliation No sympathy with ISIS in West Bank and Gaza A public opinion poll conducted by JMCC showed interesting results in Palestinian public opinion circles, including contradictions and several surprises. Perhaps the most significant of these was the absence of a real successor to President Mahmoud Abbas if he does not run for the presidency. The results also showed a setback in the popularity of Palestinian forces and factions and a lack of any sympathy or support for ISIS or its sister movements, whether in the Gaza Strip or the West Bank. What was even more peculiar was the setback in campaigns to boycott Israeli products, both in practice and in support. Uncertainty: Who will succeed Abu Mazen if he does not run for president? One question posed to the public was about their choices if presidential elections were held and the current President Mahmoud Abbas does not run. 10.5%(9.1% from the West Bank and 12.9% from Gaza) said they would vote for Marwan Barghouti for president making him the most popular candidate, while 9.8%(7.5% from the West Bank and 13.8% from Gaza) said they would vote for Ismail Haniyeh; 5.1%(1.3% from the West Bank and 11.3% from Gaza) answered Mohammed Dahlan and 3.3% said they would vote for Saeb Erekat; another 3.3% answered Khaled Meshaal, while the largest proportion 33.6% said they had not yet decided for whom they would vote. Page 2 Setback in popularity of political personalities The poll also showed a setback in the level of trust in political personalities, whereby the percentage of those who trust President Abbas dropped from 21.8% in March of this year to 16.1% in this August poll. The level of trust in Ismail Haniyeh also dropped from 14.1% to 12.5% in the same period. Moreover, the level of trust in Marwan Barghouti rose from 5.4% in March to 7.1% within the same period. In terms of evaluating the performance of the government, the percentage of those who believe its performance has retreated rose from 15.8% in April, 2014 to 26.4% this August. Also, the percentage of those who believe the government deals transparently with the administration of financial issues dropped from 24.3% in May 2012 to 17.3% this August. In regards to the latest reshuffle in Dr. Rami Hamdallah’s government, the majority, 44.3% of those polled, said the step would make no difference, in comparison to 34.9% who said the step would serve the interests of the Palestinian people. The public was then asked the question:“How would you define yourself-­‐ only in one word-­‐ in terms of particular affiliation?”. The majority, 32.4% answered Palestinian; 16.8% said Muslim, 6.8% said Fatah; and 2.7% answered Hamas. Increasing demand for elections Meanwhile, there was a rise in the percentage of those who support holding legislative and presidential elections, even if reconciliation is not completed, from 34.8% in November, 2012 to 58.9% in this August. In contrast,, the percentage of those who support holding elections only once reconciliation is completed, dropped from 60.8% in November, 2012 to 35.8% this August. In response to the question whether it is important for Palestine National Council elections to be held, 74% said it was important while 16.9% said it was not important. In response to the question If PLC elections were held today, to which party you would vote for, 41.1% said Fatah 20.2% Hamas while 22.7% said they will not vote. Setback in support for and practice of a boycott of Israeli products It was clear from the poll that there has been a distinct setback in the level of support for and practice of boycott campaigns of Israeli products in general. The percentage of those who support the boycott of all Israeli projects dropped from 59.2% last March to 49.1% this August. Moreover, the percentage of those who support the boycott of Israeli settlement products only rose from 7.6% last March to 9.4% this August. In response to a question about their direct practice of boycotting, the percentage of respondents who said they boycott all Israeli products dropped from 48.8% last March to 34.1% this August. Page 3 No sympathy for ISIS or its sister movements The poll clearly showed there is no sympathy for or any noteworthy presence of ISIS or Salafist movements in the Palestinian territories, including in the Gaza Strip. The majority, 64.9% said they were unsympathetic with them while 3.8% said they were sympathetic. In regards to the strength of Salafist movements in the Gaza Strip, the majority of respondents, 60.3% said the presence of Salafist movements in the Strip was limited and had little strength. Meanwhile, 2.8% said they were very strong. Upon considering the responses to this question in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank separately, it is apparent that 53.4% of the West Bank and 71.8% of the Gaza Strip consider these movements to have little and limited strength. Two-­‐state solution: continuous setback There was a continuous, slight decline in the percentage of those who believe the two-­‐state formula is the favored solution, whereby the percentage of the supporters for this solution dropped from 44% this August after it had been 48.3% in March of this year and 52.4% in March, 2013. Contrastingly, the percentage of those who support a bi-­‐national state rose to 21.3% in this poll after it was 16.3% in March of this year and 23.4% in March, 2013. Maintaining the PNA The poll showed that 71.7% of respondents believe there is a need to perpetuate and maintain the PNA. This includes the majority, 78.4% in the Gaza Strip and 67.7% in the West Bank including Jerusalem, in comparison to 23.7% who support the dissolution of the PNA. What is more important As for the question on what should be a priority for the PNA, the majority, 27.4% clearly stated that the priority should be dealing with the cost of living problem, followed by 21.4% who said the priority should be the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip; this was followed by 20.3% who said it should be enforcing the law; 14.8% said confronting settler attacks, while 10.4% said education. Methodology: A random sample of 1199 people over the age of 18 was interviewed face-­‐to-­‐face throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip between 19-­‐23 August 2015. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 130 sampling points chosen randomly according to population. In the West Bank 749 people were surveyed from the following areas: Hebron: Hebron, Yatta, As-­‐Samu’, Beit Ummar, Dura, Bani Na’im, Halhul, Beit Kahil, Hadab al-­‐ Fawwar, al-­‐Karmil, al-­‐Fawwar Refugee Camp. Jenin: Arraba, Jaba’, Siat adh-­‐dhar, Qabatiya, Jenin, al-­‐Mughayir, Rummana, Ti’inik, Jenin Refugee Camp. Tubas: Tubas, Tayasir. Ramallah& al-­‐Bireh: al-­‐Bireh, Ramallah, Deir Dibwan, Silwad, Beitin, Surda, Abwein, Rantis, al-­‐Am’ari Refugee Camp. Jericho: Jericho, al-­‐Nuwei’ma. Jerusalem: al-­‐Ram and Dahiat al Bareed, Hizma, Abu Dis, Jaba’, Beit Hanina, Shu’fat, Old City, al-­‐Issawiyeh, Ras-­‐al Amoud, Qalandiya Refugee Camp. Bethlehem: Al-­‐Khader, Tuqu’, Bethlehem, Beit Jala, Battir, Ad-­‐ Page 4 Duheisha Refugee Camp. Nablus: Nablus, Beit Furik, Huwwara, Talfit, Awarta, Osarin, al-­‐ Badhan, Balata Refugee Camp. Salfit: Bidyya, Deir Istiya. Tulkarem: Tulkarem, Illar, Baqa ash-­‐sharqiya, far’un, Nazlat‘Issa. Qalqilya: Habla, Qalqiliya, Kafr Thutlh. In the Gaza Strip: 450 people were surveyed from the following ares: Gaza: al-­‐Rimal a-­‐Shamali, a-­‐Rimal a-­‐Janoubi, a-­‐Zeitoun, a-­‐Shuja’ia, a-­‐Tufah, a-­‐Daraj, a-­‐Naser, a-­‐Sheikh Radwan, Tal al-­‐Hawa, al-­‐Mughraga, Shati Refugee Camp. Khan Younis: Khan Younis, Absan al-­‐Kabira, Abasan al-­‐Saghira, Bani Suheila, al-­‐Qarara, Khuza’, Khan Younis Refugee Camp. Rafah: Rafah, Shouket a-­‐Soufi, Rafah Refugee Camp. Gaza North: Jabalia, Beit Lahia, Beit Hanoun, Jabalia Refugee Camp. Deir al-­‐Balah: Deir al-­‐Balah, Burij,-­‐ Zawaydeh, Nussirat, al-­‐Maghazi Refugee Camp, Bureij Refugee Camp, Deir al-­‐Balah Refugee Camp. The margin of error is ±3 percent, with a confidence level of 95%. Sample Distribution 52.5% of the respondents were from the West Bank, 10.0% from Jerusalem, 37.5% from the Gaza Strip. 16.7% said they live in villages, 8.8% in refugee camps, and 74.5% in towns/cities. 50.5% were male, 49.5% were female. 67.4% were married, 27.3%, single, 3.9% widowed 1.3% divorced, 0.1% no answer. The average age of the respondents was 37 years. Occupation of Respondents ⋅ Students 13.7% ⋅ Laborers 11.2% ⋅ Housewives 33.8% ⋅ Farmers/fishermen2.7% ⋅ Craftsmen 0.8% ⋅ Businessmen/private business 7.7% ⋅ Public Sector Employees 12.0% ⋅ Private Sector Employees 6.0% ⋅ Professionals(e.g. doctors/lawyers/ pharmacists/engineers) 1.2% ⋅ Unemployed 7.8% ⋅ Retired 3.1%, ⋅ No answer 0.0%. Page 5 Results: Q1. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 16.0 39.4 19.8 22.8 2.0 West Bank n= 749 14.2 40.6 19.6 22.8 2.8 Gaza n=450 19.1 37.6 20.0 22.7 0.6 Support and Opposition to the Peace Negotiations Between Palestinians and Israelis Total West Bank Gaza 55,4 54,8 56,7 60 Total West Bank Gaza 50 42,6 42,4 42,7 40 30 20 10 0 Agree Disagree Total West Bank Gaza 2 2,8 0,6 I don't know Page 6 Q2. Some believe that a two-­‐state formula is the favored solution for the Arab-­‐Israeli conflict, while others believe that historic Palestine cannot be divided and thus the favored solution is a bi-­‐national state on all of Palestine where Palestinians and Israelis enjoy equal representation and rights. Which of these solutions do you prefer? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1199 n= 749 n= 450 Two-­‐state solution: a Palestinian and an 44.0 45.9 40.9 Israeli state Bi-­‐national state on all of historic Palestine 21.3 21.8 20.4 Others 1.3 0.4 2.7 No solution 14.4 13.2 16.4 Palestinian state* 17.3 16.6 18.4 Islamic state* 1.1 1.5 0.4 I don’t know\ no answer 0.6 0.6 0.8 * These answers were not included as part of the options read to the interviewee Favored solution for the Arab-Israeli conflict I don't know\ no Islamic state answer 1,1 0,6 Palestinian State 17,3 No solution 14,4 Others 1,3 Bi-national state on all of historic Palestine 21,3 Two-state solution: a Palestinian and an Israeli 44 Page 7 Q3. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied about the way that Mahmoud Abbas(Abu Mazen) is dealing with his job as a president to the Palestinian National Authority? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied No answer Total n= 1199 20.4 32.0 13.8 31.2 2.6 West Bank n= 749 18.6 34.8 13.5 29.2 3.9 Gaza n=450 23.3 27.3 14.2 34.4 0.8 Satisfaction and Dissatisfaction about the way that Mahmud Abbas(Abu Mazen) is dealing with his job as a President to the PNA 160 Gaza Gaza 140 50,6 48,6 120 100 West Bank Gaza 80 42,7 53,4 West Bank 0,8 60 West Bank 40 Total Total 3,9 52,4 45 Total 20 2,6 0 SaZsfied DissaZsfied No answer Page 8 Q4. In general, how do you evaluate the performance of the PNA? Would you say its performance is very good, good, bad or very bad? Very good Good Bad Very bad No answer Total n= 1199 12.5 44.9 25.4 16.0 1.2 West Bank n= 749 10.8 48.5 24.0 15.0 1.7 Gaza n=450 15.3 38.9 27.8 17.8 0.2 Evaluation of the performance of the PNA 60 W.B Total 48.5 50 44,9 Gaza 38,9 40 30 20 Total Gaza W.B 15,3 12,5 10.8 Total W.B Gaza 25,4 24 27,8 Total W.B Gaza 17,8 16 15 10 Total W.B Gaza 1,2 1.7 0,2 0 Very good Good Bad Very bad No answer Page 9 Q5-­‐ In your opinion, which of the following topics should be a priority for the PNA? Health Education Cost of living Settler attacks Reconstruction of the Gaza Strip Enforcing the law I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 5.3 10.4 27.4 14.8 21.4 20.3 0.4 West Bank n= 749 4.5 11.5 28.8 19.5 14.8 20.4 0.5 Gaza n=450 6.4 8.7 24.9 7.1 32.4 20.0 0.5 Perception on the Topics that should be a priority for the PNA I don’t know\ no answer 0,4 Enforcing the law 20,3 Health 5,3 Educaoon 10,4 Reconstrucoon of the Gaza Strip 21,4 Sepler apacks 14,8 Cost of living 27,4 Page 10 Q6-­‐ There is a debate on the future of the PNA whereby some people believe that dissolving the PNA is necessary now while others believe that the perpetuation of the PNA and maintaining it is a necessity. What do you think? Dissolving the PNA is necessary Perpetuating and maintaining the PNA is a necessity I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 23.7 71.7 4.6 West Bank n= 749 26.4 67.7 5.9 Gaza n=450 19.1 78.4 2.5 I don’t know\ no answer 4,6 100 I don’t know\ no answer 5,9 I don’t know\ no answer 2,5 90 80 perpetuaong and perpetuaong and perpetuaong and 70 maintaining the PNA maintaining the PNA maintaining the PNA 60 is a necessity is a necessity is a necessity 50 71,7 67,7 78,4 40 30 20 Dissolving the PNA is Dissolving the PNA is necessary necessary Dissolving the PNA is necessary 10 23,7 26,4 19,1 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 11 Q7.Do you think that Prime Minister Dr. Rami Al-­‐Hamdallah is doing a good, average, or a bad job as a Prime Minister? Good Average Bad I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 24.6 37.6 30.8 7.0 West Bank n= 749 29.1 37.0 24.3 9.6 Gaza n=450 17.1 38.7 41.6 2.6 Do you think that Prime Minister Dr. Rami Al-Hamdallah is doing a good, average, or a bad job as a Prime Minister? I don’t know\ no answer 7 Good 24,6 Bad 30,8 Average 37,6 Page 12 Q8-­‐ In general, do you think the performance of the current government headed by Rami al-­‐Hamdallah is better when compared to previous governments? Didn’t change, or became worse? It’s performance has become better Didn’t change It’s performance has become worse I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 23.1 43.3 26.4 7.2 West Bank n= 749 27.6 41.8 20.7 9.9 Gaza n=450 15.6 45.8 35.8 2.8 has become beper 23.1 has become worse 26.4 I don’t know \ no answer 7,2 has become beper 27.6 has become worse 20.7 I don’t know \ no answer 9,9 has become beper 15.6 has become worse 35.8 I don’t know \ no answer 2,8 Evaluation of the performance of the current government headed by Rami al-Hamdallah Compared to previous governments? Didn’t change 50 43,3 Didn’t change 41,8 Didn’t change 45,8 40 30 20 10 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 13 Q9-­‐ To what extent do you think that Al Hamdallah’s government is being transparent in handling the financial issues? To a very high degree, high degree, average degree, low degree or very low degree? To a very high degree High degree Average Low degree Very low degree I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 4.0 13.3 30.8 19.8 18.8 13.3 West Bank n= 749 3.9 14.6 30.0 18.3 15.2 18.0 Gaza n=450 4.2 11.3 32.0 22.4 24.7 5.4 Very low degree 18,8 I don’t know \ no answer 13,3 Very low degree 15,2 I don’t know \ no answer 1 8 Very low degree 24,7 I don’t know \ no answer 5,4 Perception on the Extent of Al Hamdallah’s Government transparency in handing the financial issues? 35 Average 30,8 30 Average 30 Average 32 25 Low degree 19,8 20 High degree 15 13,3 Low degree High degree 18,3 14,6 Low degree 22,4 High degree 11,3 10 V. high degree 5 4 V. high degree 3.9 V.high degree 4.2 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 14 Q10-­‐ Recently, a government reshuffle took place in which five new ministers were added to Dr. Rami Hamdallah’s government. What do you think? Will this reshuffle be a positive step that serves the interests of the Palestinian people? Will it not serve their interests? Or will it make no difference either way? It will serve the interests of the Palestinian people It will not serve the interests of the Palestinian people It will not make a difference either way I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 34.9 15.2 44.3 5.6 West Bank n= 749 36.8 12.6 43.3 7.3 Gaza n=450 31.6 19.6 46.0 2.8 Perception on the recent government reshuffle in which five new ministers were added to Dr. Rami Hamdallah’s government. I don’t know\ no answer 5,6 It will serve the interests of the Palesonian people 34,9 It will not make a difference either way 44,3 It will not serve the interests of the Palesonian people 15,2 Page 15 Q11-­‐ According to the basic Law, the legislative and presidential elections should have been held four years ago. Do you prefer holding elections soon under any circumstances, or do you prefer holding elections only after reconciliation is completed? Prefer holding elections soon under any circumstances Prefer holding elections only after reconciliation is completed I don’t know No answer Total n= 1199 58.9 35.8 4.2 1.1 West Bank n= 749 55.1 38.2 5.7 1.0 Gaza n=450 65.1 31.8 1.6 1.5 Preference on holding elections soon under any circumstances, or do you prefer holding elections only after reconciliation is completed Prefer holding elecoons only aser reconciliaoon is completed 35,8 I don’t know 4,2 No answer 1,1 Prefer holding elecoons soon under any circumstances 58,9 Page 16 Q12-­‐ Do you think it is or is not important for PLC elections to be held? Important Not Important I don’t know No answer Total n= 1199 82.9 13.7 2.8 0.6 West Bank n= 749 82.9 12.6 3.9 0.6 Gaza n=450 82.9 15.6 1.1 0.4 Do you think it is or is not important for PLC elections to be held? Important 90 82,9 Important 82,9 Important 82,9 80 70 60 50 Not 40 Important 30 13.7 20 I don’t No know answer 10 2.8 0.6 0 Total Not Important 12.6 I don’t know 3.9 No answer 0.6 West Bank Not Important 15.6 I don’t know 1.1 No answer 0.4 Gaza Page 17 Q13-­‐ If PLC elections were held today, to which party would you vote for? Hamas, Fatah, or other parties? Hamas Fatah Other parties Won’t vote No answer Total n=1199 20.2 41.1 9.8 22.7 6.2 West Bank n= 749 19.5 41.4 8.1 24.8 6.2 Gaza n= 450 21.3 40.7 12.7 19.1 6.2 If PLC elections were held today, to which party would you vote for? Hamas, Fatah, or other parties? No answer 6,2 Won’t vote 22,7 Hamas 20,2 Other paroes 9,8 Fatah 41,1 Page 18 Q14-­‐ Do you think it is or is not important for Presidential elections to be held? Important Not Important I don’t know No answer Total n= 1199 81.5 14.0 3.2 1.3 West Bank n= 749 80.0 13.6 4.7 1.7 Gaza n=450 84.0 14.7 0.7 0.6 Do you think it is or is not important for Presidential elections to be held? I don’t know 3,2 No answer 1,3 Not Important 14 Important 81,5 Page 19 Q15-­‐ If presidential elections were to take place today and Mahmoud Abbas(Abu Mazen) would not run again, whom would you vote for? Marwan Al-­‐Barghouthi Isma’el Haniyeh Mohamad Dahlan Sa’eb E’riqat Khaled Mish’al Others I don’t know No answer Total n= 1199 10.5 9.8 5.1 3.3 3.3 18.6 33.6 15.8 West Bank n= 749 9.1 7.5 1.3 2.9 3.2 18.7 39.7 17.6 Gaza n=450 12.9 13.8 11.3 3.8 3.6 18.4 23.6 12.6 If presidential elections were to take place today and Mahmoud Abbas(abu Mazen) would not run again, whom would you vote for? No answer 15,8 Marwan Al-­‐ Barghouthi 10,5 Isma'el Haniyeh 9,8 I don’t know 33,6 Mohamad Dahlan 5,1 Sa'eb E'riqat 3,3 Khaled Misha'l 3,3 Others 18,6 Page 20 Q1 6-­‐ Do you think it is important or not important for National Council elections to be held? Important Not Important I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 74.0 16.9 9.1 West Bank n= 749 67.8 18.4 13.8 Gaza n=450 84.2 14.4 1.4 Do you think it is or is not important for National Council elections to be held? Gaza 90 Total 84,2 80 74 West Bank 67,8 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Important Total West BankGaza 16,9 18,4 14,4 Not Important West Bank Total 13,8 9,1 Gaza 1,4 I don’t know\ no answer Page 21 Q17-­‐ Do you think it is important or not important for student union elections to be held? Important Not Important I don’t know/ no answer Total n= 1199 74.1 18.3 7.6 West Bank n= 749 71.2 18.6 10.2 Gaza n=450 79.1 18.0 2.9 Do you think it is or is not important for student union elections to be held? Gaza 90 Total W.B 79,1 80 74,1 71.2 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Important Total W.B Gaza 18,3 18.6 18 Not Important Total W.B 7,6 10.2 Gaza 2,9 I don’t know\ no answer Page 22 Q18-­‐ To what extent do you think ISIS has a presence in the Gaza Strip? Large presence Moderate presence Small presence No presence No answer Total n= 1199 2.2 10.6 32.0 46.3 8.9 West Bank n= 749 2.0 6.5 25.4 52.7 13.4 Gaza n=450 2.4 17.3 43.1 35.6 1.6 To what extent do you think ISIS has a presence in the Gaza Strip? No 60 No presence 50 46.3 presence 52.7 Small presence 43.1 No Small 40 presence 32 30 Moderate 20 presence Large 10.6 10 presence 2.2 0 No answer 8.9 Small presence 25.4 Moderate presence Large 6.5 presence 2 No answer 13.4 Moderate presence 17.3 Large presence 2.4 presence 35.6 No answer 1.6 Total West Bank Gaza Page 23 Q19-­‐ How sympathetic are you with the Salafist movements opposed to Hamas’ authority in the Gaza Strip? Would you say you are very sympathetic, moderately sympathetic or unsympathetic? Very sympathetic Moderately sympathetic Unsympathetic No answer Total n= 1199 3.8 17.8 64.9 13.5 West Bank n= 749 3.3 16.0 61.1 19.6 Gaza n=450 4.7 20.9 71.1 3.3 Sympathy and unsympathy with the Salafist movements opposed to Hamas’ authority in the Gaza Strip 80 Gaza Total 71,1 70 64,9 W.B 61.1 60 50 40 30 20 Total W.B Gaza 10 3,8 3.3 4,7 Total 17,8 Gaza W.B 20,9 16 0 Very sympatheZc Moderately sympatheZc UnsympatheZc W.B Total 19.6 13,5 Gaza 3,3 No answer Page 24 Q20-­‐ Recently, there has been a growing presence of the Salafist movement opposed to Hamas in the Gaza Strip. How strong is this movement in Gaza? Would you say it is very strong, moderately strong or has little strength? Very strong Moderately strong Little strength No answer Total n= 1199 2.8 17.5 60.3 19.4 West Bank n= 749 3.2 14.6 53.4 28.8 Gaza n=450 2.2 22.4 71.8 3.6 Perception on the presence of the Salafist movement opposed to Hamas in the Gaza Strip 80 Gaza 71,8 70 Total 60,3 W.B 60 53.4 50 40 30 20 Total W.B Gaza 10 2,8 3.2 2,2 0 Very strong Gaza Total W.B 22,4 17,5 14.6 Moderately strong Li`le strength W.B 28.8 Total 19,4 Gaza 3,6 No answer Page 25 Q21-­‐ In your opinion, which side should be more blamed for the persisting division and the failure of efforts pertinent between Fatah and Hamas? Hamas movement Fatah movement Hamas and Fatah Israel Other I don’t know\ no answer Total n=1199 21.3 12.4 24.0 33.4 3.2 5.7 West Bank n=749 17.6 12.1 22.7 36.8 3.2 7.6 Gaza n=450 27.3 12.9 26.2 27.8 3.1 2.7 Perceptions on which side should be more blamed for the persisting division and the failure of efforts pertinent between Fatah and Hamas? I don’t know\ no answer 5,7 Other 3,2 Hamas movement 21,3 Israel 33,4 Fatah movement 12,4 Hamas and Fatah 24 Page 26 Q22. After the war over Gaza Strip, who do you think is the winning side? Israel, Hamas, Israel and Hamas, or neither Israel nor Hamas? Israel Hamas Israel and Hamas Neither Israel nor Hamas I don’t know\ no answer Total n= 1199 15.0 40.0 2.7 37.4 4.9 West Bank n= 749 10.1 44.2 2.9 36.8 6.0 Gaza n=450 23.1 33.1 2.2 38.2 3.4 After the war over Gaza Strip, who do you think is the winning side? Israel, Hamas, Israel and Hamas, or neither Israel nor Hamas? Neither Israel nor Hamas 37,4 I don’t know\ no answer 4,9 Israel 15 Israel and Hamas 2,7 Hamas 40 Page 27 Q23-­‐ Do you think that a truce will be reached between Hamas and Israel? Yes No I don’t know/ no answer Total n=1199 45.0 40.7 14.3 West Bank n= 749 36.4 45.7 17.9 Gaza n=450 59.1 32.4 8.5 Do you think that a truce will be reached between Hamas and Israel? Yes 60 Yes No 59,1 45 No 45,7 50 40,7 Yes 36,4 No 40 I don’t know/ I don’t 32,4 30 no answer 17.9 know/ know/ no answer I don’t 14.3 20 no answer 8.5 10 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 28 Q24-­‐ In general, is religion an important part of your life? Yes No No answer Total n=1199 94.1 5.8 0.1 West Bank n= 749 95.9 4.0 0.1 Gaza n=450 91.1 8.7 0.2 In general, Is religion an important part of your life? 120 Yes 100 94,1 80 60 40 No 20 No 5,8 answer 0.1 0 Total Yes 95,9 No No answer 4 0.1 West Bank Yes 91,1 No No 8,7 answer 0.2 Gaza Page 29 Q25-­‐ Have you performed al Umra(a pilgrimage to Mecca performed by Muslims that can be undertaken at any time of the year? Yes No No answer Total n=1199 31.1 68.1 0.8 West Bank n= 749 37.2 61.5 1.3 Gaza n=450 20.9 79.1 0.0 Have you perforemd al Umra(a pilgrimage to Mecca performed by Muslims that can be undertaken at any time of the year? No 90 No 79,1 80 68,1 No 70 61,5 60 50 Yes 40 31,1 30 No 20 answer 10 0.8 0 Yes 37,2 No answer 1.3 Yes 20,9 No answer 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 30 Q26-­‐ Did you fast during the month of Ramadan? Most of the days or all of the days A few days I did not fast No answer Total n=1199 93.2 5.1 0.9 0.8 West Bank n= 749 91.5 6.0 1.3 1.2 Gaza n=450 96.2 3.6 0.2 0.0 Most or 120 all days 100 93.2 Did you fast during the month of Ramadan? Most or Most or all days all days 91.5 96.2 80 60 A few A few A few 40 days Didn't 5.1 days 6 Didn't days 3.6 Didn't 20 fast N/A fast N/A fast N/A 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.2 0.2 0 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 31 Q27-­‐ During the month of Ramadan, did you perform all religious prayers? I prayed all days I prayed only on Fridays I did not pray Total n=1199 85.4 8.8 5.8 West Bank n= 749 83.8 10.0 6.2 Gaza n=450 88.0 6.9 5.1 During the month of Ramadan, did you perform all religio I p u r s a p ye r d ayers? I prayed I prayed 100 all days all days all days 85.4 83.8 88 80 60 40 I prayed only I did 20 on Fridays not pray 8.8 5.8 I prayed only on Fridays 10 I did not pray 6.2 I prayed only on Fridays I did 6.9 not pray 5.1 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 32 Q28-­‐ How would you define yourself-­‐ only in one word-­‐ in terms of particular affiliation? Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n=450 Palestinian 32.4 34.4 28.9 Religious 7.4 2.1 16.2 Arab 3.0 4.1 1.1 Muslim 16.8 21.5 8.9 Fatah 6.8 6.7 6.9 Patriotic 5.4 4.7 6.7 Hamas 2.7 2.8 2.4 Others 18.8 15.1 25.1 I don’t know/ no answer 6.7 8.6 3.8 • This is an open-­‐ended question no options were read to the interviewee How would you define yourself- only in one word- in terms of particular affiliation? I don't know/ no answer 6.7 Others 18,8 Palesonian 32,4 Hamas 2,7 Patriooc 5,4 Fatah 6,8 Muslim 16,8 Religious 7,4 Arab 3 Page 33 Q29-­‐ Currently, there are several attempts at boycotting Israeli products in Palestinian markets. Which of the following do you support most? I support boycotting all Israeli products I support boycotting settlement products only I support boycotting products with an alternative I support boycotting settlement products and products with an alternative I don’t support boycotting Israeli product I don’t know/ no answer Total n=1199 49.1 9.4 15.2 12.4 10.6 3.3 West Bank n= 749 52.1 9.6 14.0 14.0 7.3 3.0 Gaza n=450 44.2 9.1 17.1 9.8 16.0 3.8 Currently, there are several attempts at boycotting Israeli products in Palestinian markets. Which of the following do you support most? I don’t support boycoung Israeli product 10,6 I support boycoung seplement products and products with an alternaove 12,4 I don’t know/ no answer 3.3 I support boycoung products with an alternaove 15,2 I support boycoung seplement products only 9.4 I support boycoung all Israeli products 49,1 Page 34 Q30-­‐ At the personal level, would you say you: Boycott all Israeli products Boycott settlement products only Boycott products with an alternative Boycott settlement products and products with an alternative Don’t support boycotting Israeli products I don’t know/ no answer Total n=1199 34.1 8.3 24.9 15.8 11.8 5.1 West Bank n=749 37.7 9.3 23.6 16.2 8.7 4.5 Gaza n=450 28.2 6.7 26.9 15.1 16.9 6.2 At the personal level, would you say you: I don’t know\ no answer 5,1 I don’t support boycoung Israeli product 11,8 I support boycoung seplement products and products with an alternaove 15,8 I support boycoung all Israeli products 34,1 I support boycoung products with an alternaove 24,9 I support boycoung seplement products only 8,3 Page 35 Q31-­‐ Which Political or religious faction do you trust the most? Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n=450 Fatah 35.4 34.8 36.2 Hamas 20.0 18.6 22.4 PFLP 3.2 3.1 3.3 Other Islamic factions 3.1 1.9 5.1 Others 3.5 4.0 2.7 I don’t trust anyone 29.2 31.1 26.0 No answer 5.6 6.5 4.3 *This was an open-­‐ended question no options were read to the interviewee Which Political or religious faction do you trust the most? No answer 5,6 I don’t trust anyone 29,2 Fatah 35,4 Others 3,5 Other Islamic facoons PFLP 3,1 3,2 Hamas 20 Page 36 Q32. Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most?* Total West Bank Gaza n=1199 n= 749 n=450 Mahmoud Abas(Abu Mazen) 16.1 16.6 15.3 Isma’el Haniyeh 12.5 10.0 16.7 Marwan Al-­‐Barghouthi 7.1 7.3 6.7 Khaled Misha’l 4.2 3.7 4.9 Mohamad Dahlan 3.2 0.7 7.3 Others 16.3 17.8 14.0 I don’t trust anyone 32.3 34.6 28.4 No answer 8.3 9.3 6.7 *This was an open-­‐ended question no options were read to the interviewee Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most?* No answer 8,3 Mahmoud Abbas ( Abu Mazen) 16,1 I don’t trust anyone 32,3 Others 16,3 Isma'el Haniyeh 12,5 Marwan Al-­‐ Barghouthi 7,1 Khaled Misha'l 4,2 Mohamad Dahlan 3,2 Page 37