Palestinian Territories 01/2016 EDITORIAL Below you will find the results of the la test public opinion poll conducted by the Jerusalem Media and Communication Cen tre(JMCC) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip in March 2016. Since October 2015, political unrest has gripped the occupied Palestinian territory (oPt) and has seen scores of Palestinians take to the streets in protest and a rise in the number of alleged attacks by Pa lestinians against Israeli soldiers, securi ty forces, settlers and civilians. While the death toll continues to rise, the results of the poll show that Palestinians are divi ded on prolonging the unrest. 55.9% of respondents support its continuation but 51% would like to see it come to an end. An interesting split is evident between the West Bank and Gaza, where a higher number of respondents in Gaza(75.8%) support the unrest compared to the West Bank(44%). As has been evident in re cent Israeli punitive actions, including the demolition of houses and increased check points, residents in the West Bank certain ly have much to lose from an escalation in violence. Gazans on the other hand, it would seem, have learned the hard lesson that a prerequisite for international atten tion and change on the ground is the out break of violence. 42.8% of Palestinians rate the perfor mance of the Palestinian Authority(PA) as bad or very bad, 76.5% believe the PA is corrupt and 48.2% would like to see the authorities end security cooperation with Israel. Nevertheless, broad dissatisfac tion with the PA in its current form has not led to Palestinians abandoning the PA altogether: a large majority(68.1%) feel that maintaining the PA is a necessity. Equally support for the two-state solution (69%) outweighs other one-state options (24.8%). While many onlookers, including the Israeli government, believe the PA’s days are numbered, it would appear that many Palestinians have not been presen ted with convincing alternatives to date. But Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas would be wise not interpret broad accep tance of the PA as approval of his leader ship. Just over half of those polled are dissatisfied with the President, up from an already worrying 45% in August 2015. Attempts to push reconciliation between Hamas and Fatah have failed time and time again and the 2014 agreement bet ween the two movements – which pro posed new elections within six months – is already a relic of the past. Therefore, it comes as little surprise that 61.3% of Palestinians see little hope for reconcilia tion in 2016. Yet despite the ongoing di vision, Palestinians throughout oPt are opposed to steps that may jeopardise the future unity of Palestine. Respondents are unambiguous(76.8%) in their opposition to excluding Gaza and holding elections in the West Bank only. Similarly a far greater number(54.1% compared to 37.6%) pre fer holding elections only after reconcilia tion is completed. While the international community continues to talk exclusively with the Fatah-dominated PA, there is no escaping the Palestinian consensus on the importance of bringing Fatah and Hamas together. Finally, with France currently looking to push a new multilateral peace initiative to revive talks between Israel and Palestine, it is clear that many Palestinians(22.5%) want to see a stronger EU role in future mediation efforts. Indeed with the backing of only 4.9%, there is little demand for further US mediation. Against this back drop, the recent EU measure to issue gui delines on the labelling of products from illegal Israelis settlements was received positively by 46% of those polled. Howe ver, only time will tell if the EU can meet the expectations of Palestinians and brea the life into what is a now frozen peace process. Design: ery foto Seite 1 Jerusalem Office Tel.:+972-2-532 83 98 Fax:+972-2-581 96 65 Email: info@fespal.org Web: www.fespal.org PO Box: 25047 – Jerusalem 2976557 Fax: 02- 2976555 Tel. 02Email: poll@jmcc.org Website: www.jmcc.org Poll No. 85- March 2016 Support for the‘Intifada’ and the two-­‐state solution Division over security coordination Popularity of Marwan Barghouthi grows while trust in PA and Palestinian figures retreats Negativity towards ISIS and trust in the European Union The latest public opinion poll conducted by the Jerusalem Media and Communication Centre showed that a majority of(55.9%) of Palestinians support the continuation of the current uprising in contrast with 41% who oppose it. It is noteworthy that the majority of those in favor were from the Gaza Strip(75.8%) while the majority of those opposed were from the West Bank(51.6%). Furthermore, the majority of respondents(56.2%) supported the continuation of the current knife attacks; 41.1% opposed such a continuation. An increase in support for these knife attacks was also apparent in Gaza, where the majority of those polled, or 79.5%, said they supported them in contrast to the West Bank, where the majority, or 53.9.%, were opposed to them. The two-­‐state solution The two-­‐state solution is still the most acceptable solution among respondents, with a majority(69%) opposing any change in the official Palestinian Authority(PA) policy of demanding an independent state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Only 24.8% supported a change in policy demanding equal rights for Arabs and Jews in one state, i.e., in all of historical Palestine from the river to the sea. Security coordination: split opinions Regarding security coordination between the PLO and Israel, there was a slight split among Palestinians: 48.2% said they favored ending it while 43.4% supported its continuation. However, the majority, 52.7%, said they would support the continuation of security Page 2 coordination if halting it meant a suspension of civil coordination(permits medical referrals. etc.) in contrast with 38.6% who opposed this. PA Setback The poll showed a setback in the level of satisfaction over President Mahmoud Abbas’(Abu Mazen) performance as president of the PA. 52.4% of respondents were satisfied last August compared to 45.3% in March 2016. Likewise there was a decrease in the percentage of those who believed Dr. Rami al-­‐Hamdallah was doing a good job as Prime Minster (22.2%), down from 25.5% last March. The poll also showed a setback in the public’s evaluation of the performance of some PA agencies. The percentage of those who said the performance of the education system was bad rose from 12.9% in October 2010 to 29.3%. Similarly, those who considered the performance of Palestinian Television to be bad rose from 17.3% in October 2010 to 29.5%. Barghouthi moves up The poll showed a rise in the popularity of Marwan Barghouthi, with the percentage of those saying they would vote for him if elections were held(and President Mahmoud Abbas did not stand) rose from 10.5% last August to 15.3%. Meanwhile President Abbas maintained his first place position in terms of the public’s trust(14.4%), followed by Isma’el Haniyeh(10.8%) and Marwan Barghouthi with 9.9%, a steady increase from 5.4% last March. Furthermore, the poll showed a retreat in the level of trust in Hamas, down from 22% in March 2015 to 16.5%. In contrast, trust in Fatah remains somewhat stable, 35.5% compared to 34% last March. Reconciliation followed by elections The poll showed a rise in the percentage(54.1%) of those who prefer holding elections on condition that reconciliation is first completed, in contrast with 37.6% who prefer that elections are held even if reconciliation is not completed. This is in light of a rise in the level of pessimism towards reconciliation, whereby only 27.8% of those polled expected reconciliation to be reached by the end of the year. 61.3% expected the opposite. ISIS: Negative views The poll showed continued negative views towards ISIS, both in the West Bank and Gaza. The majority of those polled, 82.1% had a negative attitude to what ISIS forces are doing compared to 6.1% who expressed an opposite opinion. Similarly, the majority of those polled,(52.1%), believed ISIS harms the Palestinian cause while just 2.8% claimed ISIS serves it. Political credibility: the EU Political credibility in the EU is apparently higher than any other international party. A large percentage, 22.5%, preferred EU mediation should Palestinian-­‐Israeli negotiations resume, followed by Egypt(19.2%), the Quartet Committee(16.3%) and the UN(17.9%). Only 4.9% preferred the United States as a mediator. Page 3 Methodology: A random sample of 1200 people over the age of 18 was interviewed face-­‐to-­‐face throughout the West Bank and Gaza Strip between 1 st and 5 th March 2016. The interviews were conducted in randomly selected homes, and the subjects inside each home were also selected randomly according to Kish tables. The interviews were conducted in 130 sampling points chosen randomly according to population. In the West Bank 750 people were surveyed from the following areas: Hebron: Hebron, Sa’ir, Adu-­‐dhahiriya, Beit‘Awwa, Idhna, Dura, Tarqumiya, Taffuh, Beit Ummar, Beit Kahil, Yatta, Khursa, Ar-­‐Rihiya, Al-­‐Fawwar refugee camp. Jenin: Jenin, Qabatiya, Birqin, Arraba, Faqqu’a, Misliya, Az-­‐Zawiya, Jenin refugee camp. Tubas: Tubas, Tayasir. Ramallah& al-­‐Bireh: Ramallah, Ni’lin, Silwad, Beitunya, Abud, Kafr‘Ein, Beitin, Surda, Jalazun refugee camp. Jericho: Jericho, Al Jiftlik. Jerusalem: Al-­‐Ram and al Dahiyeh, Hizma, Abu Dis, Jaba’, Beit Hanina, Shu’fat, Old City, Silwan, Ras al-­‐Amoud, Qalandia refugee camp. Bethlehem: Beit Fajjar, Ad-­‐Doha, Al-­‐‘Ubeidiya, Bethlehem, Al-­‐Walajeh, Dheisheh refugee camp. Nablus: Asira al-­‐Shamaliyeh, Nablus, Aqraba, Talfit, Sarra, Nisf Jubeil, Ein Beit il Ma’ refugee camp. Salfit: Bidyya, Kifl Haris. Tulkarem: Deir al Ghusun, Bal’a, Tulkarem, Kafr Sur, Seida. Qalqilya: Qalqiliya, Azzun, Jinsafut. In the Gaza Strip: 450 people were surveyed from the following ares: Gaza: al-­‐Rimal a-­‐Shamali, a-­‐Rimal a-­‐Janoubi, a-­‐Zeitoun, a-­‐Shuja’ia, a-­‐Tufah, a-­‐Daraj, a-­‐Naser, a-­‐Sheikh Radwan, Tal al-­‐Hawa, al-­‐Mughraga, Shati Refugee Camp. Khan Younis: Khan Younis, Absan al-­‐Kabira, Abasan al-­‐Saghira, Bani Suheila, al-­‐Qarara, Khuza’, Khan Younis Refugee Camp. Rafah: Rafah, Shouket a-­‐Soufi, Rafah Refugee Camp. Gaza North: Jabalia, Beit Lahia, Beit Hanoun, Jabalia Refugee Camp. Deir al-­‐Balah: Deir al-­‐Balah, Burij,-­‐ Zawaydeh, Nussirat, al-­‐Maghazi Refugee Camp, Bureij Refugee Camp, Deir al-­‐Balah Refugee Camp. The margin of error is ±3 percent, with a confidence level of 95%. Sample Distribution 52.5% of the respondents were from the West Bank 10.0% from Jerusalem, 37.5% from the Gaza Strip. 16.7% said they live in villages, 8.8% in refugee camps, and 74.5% in towns/cities. 49.3% were male, 50.7% were female. 68.7% were married, 24.8%, single, 4.7% widowed 1.8% divorced, 0.0% no answer. The average age of the respondents was 38 years. Occupation of Respondents ⋅ Students 12.3% ⋅ Laborers 9.8% ⋅ Housewives 36.0% ⋅ Farmers/fishermen 2.0% ⋅ Craftsmen 1.0% ⋅ Businessmen/private business 8.0% ⋅ Public Sector Employees 11.3% ⋅ Private Sector Employees 7.0% ⋅ Professionals(e.g. doctors/lawyers/ pharmacists/engineers) 1.5% ⋅ Unemployed 8.8% ⋅ Retired 2.3%, ⋅ No answer 0.0%. Page 4 Results: Q1. To what extent do you feel optimistic or pessimistic regarding the future in general? Would you say that you are very optimistic, optimistic, pessimistic, or very pessimistic? Very optimistic Optimistic Pessimistic Very pessimistic No answer Total n= 1200 6.5 50.8 25.6 16.8 0.3 West Bank n= 750 6.5 51.5 23.9 18.0 0.1 Gaza n=450 6.4 49.6 28.4 14.9 0.7 To what extent do you feel optimistic or pessimistic regarding the future in general? Would you say that you are very optimistic, optimistic, pessimistic, or very pessimistic? 70 Opmmismc 60 57,3 Opmmismc 58 Opmmismc 56 50 Pessimismc 42,4 40 Pessimismc 41,9 Pessimismc 43,3 30 20 10 No answer 0,3 No answer 0,1 No answer 0,7 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 5 Q2. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the continuation of the current uprising? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose No answer Total n= 1200 22.0 33.9 22.4 18.6 3.1 West Bank n= 750 16.5 27.5 26.4 25.2 4.4 Gaza n=450 31.1 44.7 15.8 7.6 0.8 Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the continuation of the current uprising? support 80 75,8 70 support 60 55,9 50 oppose 41 40 oppose 51,6 support 44 30 20 10 No answer No answer 3,1 4,4 0 Total West Bank oppose 23,4 No answer 0,8 Gaza Page 6 Q3. To what extent do you support or oppose the continuation of knife attacks against Israelis? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose No answer Total n= 1200 25.3 30.9 21.4 19.7 2.7 West Bank n= 750 18.1 24.0 25.1 28.8 4.0 Gaza n=450 37.1 42.4 15.3 4.4 0.8 To what extent do you support or oppose the continuation of knife attacks against Israelis? 90 support 80 79,5 70 support 60 56,2 50 oppose 41,1 40 oppose 53,9 support 42,1 30 oppose 19,7 20 10 No answer 2,7 No answer 4 No answer 0,8 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 7 Q4. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way that Mahmoud Abbas(Abu Mazen) is dealing with his job as a president of the PA? Very satisfied Satisfied to some extent Dissatisfied to some extent Very dissatisfied No answer Total n= 1200 16.5 28.8 16.0 34.5 4.2 West Bank n= 750 17.1 31.2 14.7 31.7 5.3 Gaza n=450 15.6 24.9 18.2 39.1 2.2 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way that Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) is dealing with his job as a president of the PA? 70 60 Dissamsfied Samsfied 50,5 50 45,3 40 Samsfied 48,3 Dissamsfied 46,4 Dissamsfied 57,3 Samsfied 40,5 30 20 10 No answer No answer 4,2 5,3 No answer 2,2 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 8 Q5. Do you think that Prime Minster Dr. Rami al-­‐Hamdallah is doing a good, average, or a bad job as a Prime Minster? Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 22.2 37.8 33.5 6.5 West Bank n= 750 24.1 36.7 31.3 7.9 Gaza n=450 18.9 39.6 37.1 4.4 Do you think that Prime Minster Dr. Rami al-Hamdallah is doing a good, average, or a bad job as a Prime Minster? 45 Average 40 37,8 Bad 35 33,5 30 Good 25 22,2 20 15 10 6,5 5 0 Total Average 36,7 Bad 31,3 Good 24,1 Average 39,6 Bad 37,1 Good 18,9 7,9 West Bank 4,4 Gaza Page 9 Q6. In general, how would you evaluate the performance of the PNA? Would you say its performance is very good, good, bad or very bad? Very good Good Bad Very bad No answer Total n= 1200 7.3 47.5 24.9 17.9 2.4 West Bank n= 750 6.0 48.5 24.4 17.9 3.2 Gaza n=450 9.6 45.8 25.8 18.0 0.8 In general, how would you evaluate the performance of the PNA? Would you say its performance is very good, good, bad or very bad? Good 60 54,8 Good 54,5 Good 55,4 50 Bad Bad Bad 42,8 42,3 43,8 40 30 20 10 No answer No answer 2,4 3,2 0 Total West Bank No answer 0,8 Gaza Page 10 Q7. How do you evaluate the performance of the following Palestinian Authority agencies? Do you see them good – average-­‐ or bad? 1-­‐ Security agencies Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 31.2 31.3 32.8 4.7 West Bank n= 750 35.1 30.1 29.2 5.6 Gaza n=450 24.7 33.1 38.7 3.5 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Security agencies 45 40 Good Average Bad 32,8 35 31,2 31,3 30 25 Good 35,1 Average Bad 30,1 29,2 Bad 38,7 Average 33,1 Good 24,7 20 15 10 No answer No answer 5 4,7 3,5 5,6 No answer 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 11 2-­‐ Legislative Council Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 16.4 29.1 42.3 12.2 West Bank n= 750 16.7 26.7 40.9 15.7 Gaza n=450 16.0 33.1 44.4 6.5 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Legilative Council 50 Bad 45 42,3 40 35 Average 30 29,1 25 Good 20 16,4 15 12,2 10 5 Bad 40,9 Average 26,7 Good 16,7 15,7 Bad 44,4 Average 33,1 Good 16 6,5 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 12 3-­‐ Council of Ministers (Executive Authority) Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 20.3 36.3 33.9 9.5 West Bank n= 750 22.1 31.9 32.9 13.1 Gaza n=450 17.1 43.6 35.6 3.7 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Council of Ministers (Executive Authority) 50 45 40 Average 36,3 Bad 35 33,9 30 25 Good 20,3 20 15 9,5 10 5 Average Bad 31,9 32,9 Good 22,1 13,1 Average 43,6 Bad 35,6 Good 17,1 3,7 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 13 4-­‐Palestinian Education System Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 31.0 38.1 29.3 1.6 West Bank n= 750 30.7 34.7 32.3 2.3 Gaza n=450 31.6 43.8 24.4 0.2 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Palestinian Education System) 50 45 Average 40 38,1 35 Good 31 Bad 29,3 30 25 Average 34,7 Bad Good 32,3 30,7 Average 43,8 Good 31,6 Bad 24,4 20 15 10 5 1,6 No answer No answer 2,3 No answer 0,2 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 14 5-­‐ Palestinian Health System Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 26.6 41.9 30.0 1.5 West Bank n= 750 29.9 41.9 26.0 2.2 Gaza n=450 21.1 42.0 36.7 0.2 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Health System) Average 45 41,9 40 35 Bad Good 30 30 26,6 25 20 Average 41,9 Good 29,9 Bad 26 Average 42 Bad 36,7 Good 21,1 15 10 5 1,5 2,2 No answer No answer No answer 0,2 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 15 6-­‐ Palestinian Television Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 31.8 35.3 29.5 3.4 West Bank n= 750 36.9 32.9 25.9 4.3 Gaza n=450 23.1 39.1 35.6 2.2 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Palestinian Television 45 40 Average Good 35,3 35 31,8 Bad 29,5 30 25 Good 36,9 Average 32,9 Bad 25,9 Average 39,1 Bad 35,6 Good 23,1 20 15 10 No answer No answer 4,3 5 3,4 No answer 2,2 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 16 7-­‐ Palestinian Radio Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 30.8 34.5 25.8 8.9 West Bank n= 750 34.3 32.7 22.7 10.3 Gaza n=450 25.1 37.6 31.1 6.2 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Palestinian Radio 40 Average 34,5 35 Good 30,8 30 Bad 25,8 25 Good 34,3 Average 32,7 Bad 22,7 Average 37,6 Bad 31,1 Good 25,1 20 15 No answer No answer 10,3 10 8,9 No answer 6,2 5 0 Total West Bank Gaza Total West Bank Gaza Page 17 8-­‐ Ministry of Interior (passports, ID cards, other documents) Good Average Bad No answer n= 1200 40.2 31.6 23.0 5.2 n= 750 50.8 26.0 17.5 5.7 n=450 22.4 40.9 32.2 4.5 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Ministry of Interior (passports, ID cards, other documents) 60 50 Good 40,2 40 Average 31,6 30 Bad 23 20 Good 50,8 Average 26 Bad 17,5 Average 40,9 Bad 32,2 Good 22,4 10 5,2 0 Total 5,7 West Bank 4,5 Gaza Page 18 9-­‐ Ministry of social affairs Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 22.7 35.1 35.8 6.4 West Bank n= 750 24.8 32.3 33.3 9.6 Gaza n=450 19.1 39.8 39.8 1.3 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Ministry of social affairs 45 40 Average Bad 35,1 35,8 35 30 Good 25 22,7 20 15 10 6,4 5 0 Total Average Bad 32,3 33,3 Good 24,8 Average Bad 39,8 39,8 Good 19,1 9,6 West Bank 1,3 Gaza Page 19 10-­‐ Vehicle and traffic department Good Average Bad No answer Total n= 1200 28.8 34.5 26.4 10.3 West Bank n= 750 37.9 32.5 16.4 13.2 Gaza n=450 13.8 37.8 43.1 5.3 Evaluation of the performance of PA agencies- Vehicle and traffic department 50 Bad 45 43,1 Good Average 40 Average 37,9 37,8 34,5 35 Good Average 32,5 30 28,8 Bad 26,4 25 20 Bad 16,4 Good 15 13,2 13,8 10,3 10 5,3 5 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 20 Q8. There is a debate on the future of the PNA whereby some people believe that dissolving the PNA is necessary now while others believe that the perpetuation of the PNA and maintaining it is a necessity. What do you think? Dissolving the PNA is necessary Perpetuating and maintaining the PNA is a necessity I don’t know\ No answer Total n= 1200 25.9 68.1 6.0 West Bank n= 750 26.1 66.5 7.4 Gaza n=450 25.6 70.7 3.7 There is a debate on the future of the PNA whereby some people believe that dissolving the PNA is necessary now while others believe that the perpetuation of the PNA and maintaining it is a necessity. What do you think? 80 Gaza TotalWest Bank 70,7 70 68,1 66,5 60 50 40 Total West Bank Gaza 30 25,9 26,1 25,6 20 10 0 Dissolving the PNA is necessary PerpetuaYng and maintaining the PNA is a necessity Total West Bank 6 7,4 Gaza 3,7 I don’t know\ No answer Page 21 Q9. Do you think there is corruption in the PNA? Yes No I don’t know\ No answer Total n= 1200 76.5 12.7 10.8 West Bank n= 750 73.2 13.9 12.9 Gaza n=450 82.2 10.4 7.4 90 Yes 80 76,5 70 Do you think there is corruption in the PNA? Yes 82,2 Yes 73,2 60 50 40 30 20 No No No 12,7 No aswer/DK 13,9 No answer/DK 10,4 10.8 12.9 No answer/DK 10 7.4 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 22 Q10. Do you expect“ Fatah” and“ Hamas” movements to reach reconciliation in 2016? Yes No I don’t know\ No answer Total n= 1200 27.8 61.3 10.9 West Bank n= 750 24.5 60.9 14.6 Gaza n=450 33.1 61.8 5.1 Do you expect“ Fatah” and“ Hamas” movements to reach reconciliation in 2016? 70 No 61,3 60 No No 61,8 60,9 50 40 Yes 27,8 30 Yes 33,1 Yes 24,5 I don’t know\ No 20 I don’t know\ No answer answer 14,6 I don’t know\ No 10 10,9 answer 5,1 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 23 Q11. If the political division continues and elections are not held in all of the Palestinian territories, would you support holding elections in the West Bank and Jerusalem, without the Gaza Strip? Total West Bank Gaza n= 1200 n= 750 n=450 Yes, support 18.0 22.9 9.8 No, I don’t support 76.8 69.6 88.9 I don’t know\ No answer 5.2 7.5 1.3 If the political division continues and elections are not held in all of the Palestinian territories, would you support holding elections in the West Bank and Jerusalem, without the Gaza Strip? 100 90 No, I don’t support 80 76,8 70 No, I don’t support 69,6 No, I don’t support 88,9 60 50 40 30 Yes, support 18 20 10 Yes, support 22,9 I don’t know\ No answer 5,2 Yes, support DK/No answer 9,8 7.5 D know\ No answer 1.3 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 24 Q12. According to the basic Law, the legislative and presidential elections should have been held five years ago. Do you prefer holding elections soon under any circumstances, or do you prefer holding elections only after reconciliation is completed? Prefer holding elections soon under any circumstances Prefer holding elections only after reconciliation is completed I don’t know\ No answer Total n= 1200 37.6 54.1 8.3 West Bank n= 750 36.8 52.9 10.3 Gaza n=450 38.9 56.0 5.1 According to the basic Law, the legislative and presidential elections should have been held five Prefer holding elecmons only aser reconciliamon is 60 completed 54,1 Prefer holding 50 elecmons soon under any 40circumstances 37,6 Prefer holding elecmons only aser reconciliamon is completed 52,9 Prefer holding elecmons soon under any circumstances 36,8 Prefer holding elecmons only aser reconciliamon is completed 56 Prefer holding elecmons soon under any circumstances 38,9 30 20 I don’t know\ No I don’t know\ No answer answer I don’t know\ No 10 8,3 10,3 answer 5,1 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 25 Q13. To what extent do you follow the news about the current reconciliation efforts between Fatah and Hamas? To a very large extent To a large extent To a moderate extent To a small extent I don’t follow No answer Total n= 1200 7.3 22.7 34.1 21.4 14.2 0.3 West Bank n= 750 6.7 22.8 34.8 22.0 13.3 0.4 Gaza n=450 8.2 22.4 32.9 20.4 15.6 0.5 To what extent do you follow the news about the current reconciliation efforts between Fatah and Hamas? Gaza No answer 0,5 West Bank No answer 0,4 I don’t follow, 15,6 small extent, 20.4 To a very large extent, 8,2 large extent 22.4 I don’t follow, 13,3 To a small extent, 22 Total No answer 0,3 0 5 v. large extent 6.7 large extent, 22.8 I don’t follow, 14,2 small extent 21.4 very large extent 7.3 10 15 large extent, 22.7 20 25 30 moderate extent 32.9 moderate extent 34.8 moderate extent 34.1 35 40 Page 26 Q14. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, strongly disagree with peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israel? Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree No answer Total n= 1200 10.8 40.5 22.9 21.8 4.0 West Bank n= 750 9.7 42.9 20.4 20.9 6.1 Gaza n=450 12.4 36.4 27.1 23.1 1.0 Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, strongly disagree with peace negotiations between the Palestinian and the Israelis? 60 Agree 50 51,3 40 Disagree 44,7 Agree 52,6 Disagree 41,3 Agree 48,8 Disagree 50,2 30 20 10 No answer No answer 4 6,1 No answer 1 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 27 Q15. If negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians were to be resumed, who would you prefer to act as the mediator between the two sides? The European Union Egypt The United Nations The Mideast Quartet The United States No answer Total n= 1200 22.5 19.2 17.9 16.3 4.9 19.2 West Bank n= 750 22.5 13.7 17.2 16.0 6.4 24.2 Gaza n=450 22.4 28.2 19.1 16.7 2.4 11.2 If negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians were to be resumed, who would you prefer to sponsor those talks? Egypt 30 28,2 25 EU 22,5 Egypt 20 19,2 UN 19,2 17,Q9 uartet 16,3 15 10 US 4,9 5 EU 24,2 22,5 UN 17,Q2 uartet 16 Egypt 13,7 US 6,4 EU 22,4 UN 19,1 Quartet 16,7 11,2 US 2,4 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 28 Q16. Should the PLO continue or end the security coordination with Israel? Continue security coordination End security coordination I don’t know Total n= 1200 43.4 48.2 8.4 West Bank n= 750 43.6 45.5 10.9 Gaza n=450 43.1 52.7 4.2 Should the PLO continue or end the security coordination with Israel? Gaza I don’t know 4,2 West Bank I don’t know 10,9 Total I don’t know 8,4 0 10 20 End security coordinamon 52,7 End security coordinamon 45,5 Conmnue security coordinamon 43,1 End security coordinamon 48,2 Conmnue security coordinamon 43,6 Conmnue security coordinamon 43,4 30 40 50 60 Page 29 Q17. Israel announced recently that it would suspend civil coordination(e.g. permits, medical referrals, family reunifications, etc.) with the PA if the security coordination is halted, in this case, do you support halting or continuing security coordination? Continue security coordination End security coordination I don’t know\ No answer Total n= 1200 52.7 38.6 8.7 West Bank n= 750 51.1 38.0 10.9 Gaza n=450 55.3 39.6 5.1 Israel announced recently that it would suspend civil coordination(e.g. permits, medical referrals, family reunifications, etc…) with the PA if the security coordination is halted, in this case, do you Gaza I don’t know\ No answer 5,1 End security coordinamon 39,6 Conmnue security coordinamon 55,3 West Bank I don’t know\ No answer 10,9 End security coordinamon 38 Conmnue security coordinamon 51,1 Total I don’t know\ No answer 8,7 End security coordinamon 38,6 Conmnue security coordinamon 52,7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Page 30 Q18. Do you support a change in Palestinian policy, from demanding an independent state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, to demanding equal rights for Arabs and Jews in one state in Historical Palestine, from the river to the sea? Yes, I support No, I don’t support I don’t know\ No answer Total n= 1200 24.8 69.0 6.2 West Bank n= 750 28.4 62.7 8.9 Gaza n=450 18.9 79.6 1.5 Do you support a change in Palestinian policy, from demanding an independent state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, to demanding equal rights for Arabs and Jews in one state in historical Palestine, from the river to the sea? Gaza I don’t know\ No answer, 1,5 Yes, I support, 18,9 No, I don’t support, 79,6 West Bank I don’t know\ No answer, 8,9 Yes, I support, 28,4 No, I don’t support, 62,7 Total I don’t know\ No answer, 6,2 Yes, I support, 24,8 No, I don’t support, 69 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Page 31 Q19. Lately, there has been news in the media about ISIS forces advancing in Iraq and Syria. What responses do you have towards this: very positive, moderately positive, moderately negative, or very negative? Very positive Moderately positive Moderately negative Very negative No opinion Total n= 1200 0.9 5.2 18.8 63.3 11.8 West Bank n= 750 0.7 5.2 19.6 60.1 14.4 Gaza n=450 1.3 5.1 17.6 68.7 7.3 Lately, there has been news in the media about ISIS forces advancing in Iraq and Syria. What responses do you have towards this: very positive, moderately positive, moderately negative, or very negative? 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 TotalWest Bank Gaza 10 6,1 5,9 6,4 0 PosiYve Gaza Total West Bank 86,3 82,1 79,7 NegaYve West Bank Total 11,8 14,4 Gaza 7,3 No opinion Page 32 Q20. Do you think ISIS serves the Palestinian cause? Does it harm it? Or does it have no impact on the cause? It serves the Palestinian cause It harms it It has no impact on it No answer Total n= 1200 2.8 52.1 38.9 6.2 West Bank n= 750 2.7 44.1 45.2 8.0 Gaza n=450 3.1 65.3 28.4 3.2 Do you think ISIS serves the Palestinian cause? Does it harm it? Or does it have no impact on the cause? 70 60 50 40 30 20 West Bank 2,7 10 Total Gaza 2,8 3,1 0 It serves the PalesYnian cause Gaza 65,3 Total 52,1 West Bank 44,1 It harms it West Bank 45,2 Total 38,9 Gaza 28,4 It has no impact on it West Bank Total 8 6,2 Gaza 3,2 No answer Page 33 Q21. If presidential elections were to take place today and Mahmoud Abbas(abu Mazen) would not run again, whom would you vote for?* Total West Bank Gaza n= 1200 n= 750 n=450 Marwan Barghouthi 15.3 16.0 14.0 Isma’el Haniyeh 8.9 6.9 12.2 Mohamad Dahlan 5.9 1.9 12.7 Sa’eb‘Eriqat 3.0 2.3 4.2 I won’t vote 1.7 1.3 2.2 No one 1.8 2.7 0.4 Others 18.4 18.5 18.2 I don’t know\ No answer 45.0 50.4 36.1 This is an open-­‐ended question, no options were given to the interviewee If presidential elections were to take place today and Mahmoud Abbas(abu Mazen) would not run again, whom would you vote for?* Marwan Barghouthi 15,3 I don’t know\ No answer 45 Others 18,4 Isma’el Haniyeh 8,9 Mohamad Dahlan 5,9 Sa’eb‘Eriqat 3 No one 1,8 I won’t vote 1,7 Page 34 Q22. Some shake hands with the other sex while others don’t, how about you? Do you shake hands with the other sex? I shake hands with the other sex I don’t shake hands with the other sex No answer Total n= 1200 33.2 65.8 1.0 West Bank n= 750 35.9 62.7 1.4 Gaza n=450 28.7 70.9 0.4 Some shake hands with the other sex while others don’t, how about you? Do you shake hands with the other sex? 80 I don’t shake hands with the other sex, 70 65,8 60 I don’t shake hands with the other sex, 62,7 I don’t shake hands with the other sex, 70,9 50 I shake hands with 40 the other sex 33,2 30 I shake hands with the other sex 35,9 I shake hands with the other sex 28,7 20 10 No answer, 1 No answer, 1,4 No answer, 0,4 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 35 Q23. Why don’t you shake hands with the other sex? Is it for religious or social reasons (traditions and habits)? * Total West Bank Gaza n= 789 n= 470 n=319 Religious reasons 87.3 84.7 91.2 Social reasons(traditions and 11.3 13.4 8.2 habits) No answer 1.4 1.9 0.6 *This question was asked to those answered that they don’t shake hands in the previous question Why don’t you shake hands with the other sex? Is it for religious or social reasons(traditions and habits)? 100 Religious reasons 87,3 90 Religious reasons 84,7 Religious reasons 91,2 80 70 60 50 40 Social reasons Social reasons 30 (tradimons and (tradimons and Social reasons 20 habits), 11,3 habits), 13,4 (tradimons and habits), 8,2 10 No answer, 1,4 No answer, 1,9 No answer, 0,6 0 Total West Bank Gaza Page 36 Q24. What do you think about the EU decision to put labels on settlement imports distinguishing them from Israeli imports in the European market? Do you think this is a good plan? A bad one? Or it does not make a difference either way? A good plan A bad plan It does not make a difference either way No answer Total n= 1200 46.0 8.3 42.4 3.3 West Bank n= 750 46.5 8.8 40.7 4.0 Gaza n=450 45.1 7.3 45.3 2.3 What do you think about the EU decision to put labels on settlement imports distinguishing them from Israeli imports in the European market? Do you think this is a good plan? A bad one? Or it does not make a difference either way? 50 46 46.5 Total W.B Gaza 45,1 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 A good plan Gaza Total 45,3 42,4 W.B 40.7 Total W.B Gaza 8,3 8.8 7,3 Total 3,3 4 W.B Gaza 2,3 A bad plan does'nt make a difference No answer Page 37 Q25. Do you use the internet as a news source? Yes No No answer Total n= 1200 62.8 36.2 1.0 West Bank n= 750 66.5 32.5 1.0 Gaza n=450 56.7 42.2 1.1 Do you use the internet as a news source? No answer 1 No 36,2 Yes 62,8 Page 38 Q26. Which Political or religious faction do you trust the most? Total West Bank Gaza n=1200 n= 750 n=450 Fatah 35.5 36.9 33.1 Hamas 16.5 15.1 18.9 PFLP 3.0 2.8 3.3 Other Islamic factions 2.8 2.0 4.0 Others 2.9 3.1 2.7 Don’t trust anyone 35.6 35.7 35.3 No answer 3.7 4.4 2.7 *This was an open-­‐ended question no options were read to the interviewee Which Political or religious faction do you trust the most? No answer 3,7 Don’t trust anyone 35,6 Fatah 35,5 Others 2,9 Other Islamic facYons 2,8 PFLP 3 Hamas 16,5 Page 39 Q27. Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most?* Total West Bank Gaza n=1200 n= 750 n=450 Mahmoud Abass( Abu Mazen) 14.4 18.5 7.6 Isma’el Haniyeh 10.8 8.0 15.3 Marwan Barghouthi 9.9 10.3 9.3 Mohamad Dahlan 4.3 0.5 10.7 Khaled Misha’l 3.5 3.5 3.6 Others 14.8 14.4 15.3 Don’t trust anyone 36.8 37.7 35.3 No answer 5.5 7.1 2.9 *This was an open-­‐ended question no options were read to the interviewee Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most?* No answer 5,5 Mahmoud Abass ( Abu Mazen) 14,4 Don’t trust anyone 36,8 Isma’el Haniyeh 10,8 Others 14,8 Marwan Barghouthi 9,9 Mohamad Dahlan 4,3 Khaled Misha’l 3,5 Page 40