A N A LY S I S DEMOCRACY AND HUMAN RIGHTS BUCKING THE TREND? An Analysis of the 2022 Midterm Elections Kodiak Hill-Davis November 2022 In U.S. midterm elections, the party of the incumbent presi­dent traditionally loses seats in Congress. This rule of thumb largely applies in 2022 as well, and the Democrats will in all likelihood lose their majority in the House of Representatives. Nevertheless, observers believe that there will be no landslide for Republicans in 2022, and that control of the Senate could still go either way. So what happened to make 2022 an election that is unlikely to result in big Democratic losses? A look at the issues most impor­tant to voters shows that sup­porters of both parties are high­ly motivated to cast their ballots this year. Add to that the strong presence of former President Trump, who is changing the dy­namics of the 2022 midterms.