Tamás Szemlér Overlaps between the programmes are relatively easy to identify. All the three programmes have to take into account the actual situation and the mid-term prospects of the economy. No wonder that the evaluation parts of the program­mes are very similar to each other; in part, they have been produced by the same institutions and the same people. This, of course, helps the programmes to be coherent, and reduces the risks of containing contradictory evaluations and expectations. However, there are important differences between the programmes. The CP is very different from the other two programmes: its objectives are very clear, and the measures it requires, generally reduce the room for manoeuvre of both other programmes(especially of the NRP, which has to be realised mainly from domestic financial resources, but also making co-financing potentially more difficult in the case of the NSRF). We have to note, anyway, that even the CP can have effects which strengthen both other programmes: e.g. if a public sector reform, including the reform of the territorial units(a concrete example of the reform plans of the new government) is successfully managed, it can also help to make the use of EU funds more efficient as well as enabling a change of the business environment pointing to the direction set in Lisbon. This is, of course, easy to say, and much more difficult to reach in practice. As Hungary is still relatively at the beginning of all three programmes(in the case of the CP, the new version will probably also mean a new beginning, as can be seen from the government's reform plans), we cannot speak about clear results. Instead, in the following sections, we concentrate on our main topic- the NRP ­and refer to possible synergies and conflicts with both other programmes. As a result, in the end we will be able to judge whether the Lisbon Process really plays an important role in the ongoing reforms in Hungary or it is more likely to be pushed into the background. Macroeconomic outlook and measures Macroeconomic stability and financial balance are fundamental for the achieve­ment of the objectives set in the NRP. According to the projections of the NRP, real GDP growth in Hungary is expected to remain around or above 4% in the next years. Exports are expected to increase more than twice as fast as GDP, thus they remain a driving force of growth. The optimism of the NRP in this respect can be justified by the experi­ences of the previous years(Hungarian exports grew 3 to 4 percentage points higher than external demand even in recession). 120