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The future of European Economic and Monetary Union
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INTERNATIONAL POLICY ANALYSIS The Future of European Economic and Monetary Union STUDY GROUP EUROPE September 2010 The key to reform of European Economic and Monetary Union(EMU) lies in an intel­ligent balance between an autonomously implemented but collectively coordinated economic policy, on the one hand, and the need for some degree of centralization, on the other. European economic government should be established, consisting of a preventive and a reactive branch. For preventive purposes, the member states should coordinate their decentralised economic policies, with the aim of avoiding macroeconomic imbalances. Only if this fails would reactive instruments centrally controlled kick in. Notwithstanding the analyses of the Van Rompuy Task Force, the European Commis­sion and the German government, a lack of budgetary discipline is not the decisive cause of the current crisis in the Eurozone. A return of European economic policy to the goals of the so-called»Magic Square« (Magisches Viereck) is long overdue. Furthermore, workers should get their proper share of Germanys export success, reversing the pursuit of lower unit wage costs. There should also be a number of institutional innovations, such as the establishment of a Community Budget Committee of national parliaments.