STUDY The Dynamics of Conflict in the Multiethnic Union of Myanmar PCIA- Country Conflict-Analysis Study Timo Kivimäki& Paul Pasch October 2009 n Crucial developments are taking place in Burma/ Myanmar’s political landscape. Generation change, the change of the nominal political system, and the recovery from a major natural disaster can lead to many directions. Some of these changes can possibly pave the way for violent societal disruptions. n As an external actor the international community may further add to political tensions through their intervening policies. For this reason it is very important that the international community assesses its impact on the agents and structure of conflict in Burma/ Myanmar. n This study aims at mapping the opportunities and risks that various types of international aid interventions may have in the country. n The study utilizes and further develops the peace and conflict impact assessment methodology of the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung.