from the Russian war in Ukraine and the associated debates on climate change and immigration, the AfD has made further gains and polled at around 23% nationwide and 36% in Thuringia in mid-January 2024. 191 Table 3. Latest election results for the 2021 Bundestag election and the 16 state elections. CDU/CSU SPD FDP Greens Left AfD Bundestag(2021) 24.1 25.7 11.5 14.8 4.9 10.3 Baden­Württemberg 24.1 11.0 10.5 32.6- 9.7 (2021) Bavaria(2023) 37.0 8.4- 14.4- 14.6 Berlin(2023) 28.2 18.4- 18.4 12.2 9.1 *Brandenburg (2019) 15.6 26.2- 10.8 10.7 23.5 Bremen(2023) 26.2 29.8 5.1 11.9 10.9 ­Hamburg(2020) 11.2 39.2 5.0 24.2 9.1 5.3 Hesse(2023) 34.6 15.1 5.0 14.8- 18.4 Lower Saxony (2022) 28.1 33.4- 14.5- 11.0 *Mecklenburg­Vorpommern 13.3 39.6 5.8 6.3 9.9 16.7 (2021) North-Rhine Westphalia(2022) 35.7 26.7 5.9 18.2- 5.4 Rhineland­Palatinate(2021) 27.7 35.7 5.5 9.3- 8.3 Saarland(2022) 28.5 43.5--- 5.7 *Saxony(2019) 32.1 7.7- 8.6 10.4 27.5 *Saxony-Anhalt (2021) 37.1 8.4 6.4 5.9 11.0 20.8 Schleswig­Holstein 43.4 16.0 6.4 18.3- ­*Thuringia(2019) 21.7 8.2 5.0 5.2 31.0 23.4 Source: Own representation with data from Bundeswahlleiterin; Notes: Only parties that entered parliament; grey= government coalition(premier in bold); other parties: BIW(Citizens in Rage), FW(Free Voters), SSW(South Schleswig Voters’ Association, minority party);* eastern German states Others ­­15.8(FW) ­5.0(FW) 9.4(BIW) ­­­­­5.4(FW) ­­­5.7(SSW) ­The transformation of the mainstream right and its impact on(social) democracy 97