The last few months of the current year will be extremely important for the government of the GERB Party. The government is facing serious challenges connected both with overcoming the consequences from the economic crisis and promoting the reforms of the public sector, which has virtually been on the verge of a total collapse over the past year. This holds especially true of the sectors of healthcare, education, pension reform. The major challenge, which the governing majority will be facing, is the fulfillment of this year’s government budget. Although the first symptoms of bot toming-out of the crisis have been observed, the magnitude of the budget deficit may well exceed the government forecasts. This is likely to have an adverse effect on the parliamentary procedure of passing the 2011 country’s budget. Should this happen, a wave of discontent and protests could be expected on the part of the various professions working in the public sector. For its part, this could undermine the confidence rating of the GERB Party and the incumbent government. This may also entail additional Cabinet re-shuffles and ministerial resignations to the purpose of deflating public discontent. The Blue Coalition has increasingly been distancing itself from the GERB Party. Upon the opening of the new parliamentary session at the National Assembly, the co-chairs of the Blue Coalition warned that their coalition holds considerable reserves as regards the economic policy GERB has been pursuing, which may become the occasion for the coalition members to reconsider their support for the governing majority. Despite the current grave economic situation in the country, the BSP cannot be recognized as a real alternative to the governing majority. Moreover, during this quarter as well, the electoral support for the party has remained at a very low level. Nonetheless, the BSP continues to be the second largest political force in the coun try, as there is no other genuine entity in the left-wing political environment, which could compete with the BSP for the votes of the left-wing electorate. The BSP and the MRF have finally agreed to table a non-confidence vote against the government on account of the failure of its healthcare policy. This initiative was launched by the BSP and mainly aims at capturing public attention on the eve of its Congress Session in October. This session, however, is hardly likely to bring about substantial changes, marking the beginning of a new stage in the development of the party.
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Issue 3, July - September
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