A N A LY S E DEMOCRACY AND HUMAN RIGHTS POLIT-BAROMETER Year 21 Issue 1 January – February 2021 Georgi Karasimeonov(Ed.) The holding of elections in the circumstances of an epi­demic is a major challenge facing the country. At this juncture, GERB, ac­cording to sociologists, is the leading political force, but the government has exceptionally low levels of confidence, and this may bring about surprises. With a greatly fragmented parliament, forming a ruling coalition will entail the agree­ment of at least three parties.