BRIEFING Belarus Change Tracker Expert Assessments BELARUS CHANGE TRACKER Pavel Slunkin, Artyom Shraibman, Philipp Bikanau, Henadz Korshunau, Lev Lvovskiy March— May 2023 Russia's dominance of Belarus is acquiring a nuclear dimension while the Lukashenka administration turns into an engine for cultural Russification. Belarus's economy is adapting to external shocks through deeper integration with Russia, while an ageing population and emigration flows are strongly impacting the labour market. The trend of growing trust in the authorities against the backdrop of an anti-war consensus has come to a halt. The regime's repressions and controls over society have intensified, including stricter checks at state borders, 1