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Analysis of the Bundestag elections 2025
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Introduction
What are the main results?
Who voted for whom?
Clear differences in voting behaviour between east and west remain
Left-leaning women and right-leaning men?
A lot of volatility among the youngest
Significant shifts in voter behaviour by occupational group and education
How did the election campaign go?
Little movement in the opinion polls
A hot winter campaign?
The missing candidate effect
Focus on the campaign
Recapturing the digital space?
What has changed in comparison with the previous election?
It’s about something: highest voter turnout since reunification
A look at the electoral districts with the highest and lowest voter turnout
Voting by post: popular, but made more difficult by shorter deadlines
Voter migration
Who mobilised former non-voters?
Impact of a new electoral law: second votes and orphan constituencies
Decline in the number of marginal constituencies
What do the results mean for government formation?
What might hinder the upcoming coalition negotiations?
Bibliography
List of figures
About the authors
Druckschrift
Analysis of the Bundestag elections 2025 : a heavy defeat with a twofold challenge for the social democracy
Entstehung
Bonn
February 2025
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