5 Conclusions and Recommendations The electricity sectors of Georgia and Armenia are undergoing significant transformations amidst the global shift toward low-carbon energy systems. Georgia, in particular, has substantial untapped renewable energy potential – most notably in hydropower, wind, and solar – which remains underutilised due to grid constraints, seasonal imbalances, and outdated infrastructure. Armenia, while facing its own challenges, has similar ambitions to expand domestic electricity production and strengthen energy security, not only through the expansion of renewables, but also by eventually constructing a new nuclear power plant to replace the current one. Both countries recognise the value of regional collaboration, particularly in enhancing resilience, managing electricity supply variability, and aligning with the European Union’s energy and climate goals. Cross-border cooperation offers significant benefits, including improved access to operational reserves, better utilisation of generation diversity, and facilitation of renewable energy integration. The Black Sea Submarine Electricity Cable project(connecting Georgia with Romania) can be a key enabler of this integration. This infrastructure project supports the transit of clean electricity from the South Caucasus to the EU, opening export opportunities and encouraging investment in renewables and grid modernisation. Furthermore, the Turkish market has become a strategic outlet for Georgian electricity, with infrastructure like the HVDC back-to-back station in Akhaltsikhe strengthening trade links; similarly, Iran has become a major export market for Armenian electricity. Despite the clear benefits of cross-border energy integration, several challenges persist. Regulatory and market differences between Georgia and its neighbours, particularly Armenia, hinder smooth cooperation. Incompatible technical standards, grid codes, and operational practices further complicate system alignment. Geopolitical tensions and political instability in the South Caucasus add uncertainty, while limited interconnection capacity and outdated infrastructure constrain electricity exchange. Moreover, inconsistencies in energy pricing, tariffs, and subsidies create economic barriers to investment. Overcoming these issues requires coordinated policies and joint strategic efforts to unlock the full potential of regional energy integration; delaying market integration may result in additional costs due to semi-isolated development of electricity mixes. A key starting point for regional energy integration is identifying common drivers and synergies that can support collaboration among South Caucasus countries. Integration offers strategic benefits, particularly by strengthening energy security, improving system reliability, and enabling mutual support during supply fluctuations. The complementary energy profiles of Georgia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan create opportunities for electricity-balancing and reserve-sharing. Joint development of renewable resources and interconnected infrastructure would facilitate integration with EU markets and advance regional decarbonisation goals. Moreover, energy cooperation can promote peace-building and trust, while digitalisation and the green transition add momentum to coordinated regional action. Unlocking these synergies is essential to building a resilient, sustainable, and interconnected energy future. Policy Recommendations 1. Electricity Market Integration and Regulatory Harmonisation → Georgia and Armenia should accelerate electricity market reforms by adopting compatible regulatory frameworks and technical standards. Aligning with the EU’s electricity market rules, including market liberalisation and the introduction of balancing and day-ahead markets, is essential to enable efficient cross-border trade. → Establishment of regional energy coordination bodies or task forces under the auspices of the Energy Community can foster regulatory dialogue and technical alignment. 2. Infrastructure Development for Cross-Border Trade of Renewable and Clean Electricity → Prioritise the completion of key infrastructure projects such as the Marneuli–Ayrum 500 kV transmission line and Armenia’s planned HVDC back-to-back station. These will significantly increase cross-border transfer capacity and grid reliability. → Mobilise EU and international financing(e. g., through the EBRD, EIB, or Green Climate Fund) to modernise aging infrastructure and expand interconnections. Conclusions and Recommendations 17
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Green electricity transitions in Armenia and Georgia : challenges and prospects for regional cooperation
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