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Centring security in a peripheral state : shifts in Iceland's security policy post-Ukraine
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Abstract This report examines recent transformations in Icelands security and defence policy, highlight­ing shifts in emphasis, motivations and strategic outlooks. It provides some background on Ice­lands historical security approach, followed by an analysis of the growing focus on military security in the wake of Russias invasion of Ukraine. This includes the strategic significance of the Keflavík Air Base and Icelands reliance on the United States within NATO. The report eval­uates Icelands engagement in multilateral frameworks, such as NORDEFCO, EU defence cooperation, and bilateral agreements, including recent initiatives with Germany, and considers the implications of potential EU policy shifts and public opinion. Key questions addressed include Icelands evolving role in the Euro-Atlantic secu­rity architecture and the challenges posed by its geographic position, such as the GIUK gap. The report concludes with an assessment of Icelands expanding security partnerships, the role of the US as a security guarantor, and the emerging diversification of defence cooperation with Euro­pean states, including Germany, the Nordic and Baltic states. This may offer insights into poten­tial strategic directions for the near future. Final­ly, policy recommendations for German, Nordic and European policymakers are presented. Abstract 3