EU cooperation and challenges Iceland is not a member state of the European Union(EU) but is highly integrated in European policies via its membership of the European Economic Area(EEA). The current Icelandic government will call a referendum in August 2026 on whether Iceland should reopen its accession negotiations with the EU. Icelandic membership of the EU is highly contested within the country, and the campaign for and against membership is likely to become heated. While economic aspects, particularly related to fisheries, are dominant in the debate, security has recently come into stronger focus. While pro-EU parties argue that the EU would increase Iceland’s security in the world, anti-EU parties tend to argue that EU membership cannot provide such benefits as it is not a formal military alliance. During a visit to Iceland in July 2025, Ursu la von der Leyen and Iceland’s Prime Minis terannounced that the EU and Iceland aimed to sign an Agreement on Security and Defence Partnership. According to von der Leyen, this would bring Iceland into the European Security and Defence network and include access to SAFE, a 150 billion euro joint defence procurement programme. As a political signal, the signing was postponed when the EU imposed tariffs on silica on states outside the EU, including Iceland and Norway in late 2025, contrary to their heavy opposition and lobbying efforts, as it is perceived to go against the regulations of the EEA. In early January 2026, Foreign Minister Þorgerður Katrín Gunnarsdóttir announced that Iceland would continue to work on a bilateral defence agreement with the EU. The benefits of such an agreement, she noted, would include defence against hybrid threats, inclusion in the EU’s space defence programme, and access to technology in the future. According to a survey on international politics conducted in January and February 2026, the Icelandic population is equally divided on EU membership; 42% are for, while 42% stand against, with 16% undecided. Therefore, it is hard to tell what Icelanders will eventually decide. 7 If the Icelandic population votes to reopen the accession talks during the EU referendum, a serious discussion on EU membership in Norway is likely to take place. 8 Both states have benefited from membership of the EEA and EFTA, but if either Iceland or Norway became an EU member it would impact the other drastically. 7 Böðvarsdóttir E.M.(2026). Þjóðin klofin gagnvart ESB og fylgi við NATO á hreyfingu. Vísir. https://www.visir.is/g/20262838574d/thjodin-tviklofin-gagn-vart-esb-og-fylgi-vid-nato-a-hreyfingu 8 Sæberg Á.(2026). Formaður systurflokks Sjálfstæðisflokksins vill Noreg í ESB. Vísir. Formaður systurflokks Sjálfstæðisflokksins vill Noreg í ESB- Vísir 6 Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung e.V.
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Centring security in a peripheral state : shifts in Iceland's security policy post-Ukraine
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