Expanding External Connectivity Alongside intra-regional efforts, Central Asian countries are seeking to connect their electricity systems with external markets. CASA-1000, a$1.2 billion initiative 67 to export surplus hydropower from Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to Afghanistan and Pakistan during summer months, has faced delays but is regaining momentum. In 2024, Tajik istan and the Kyrgyz Republic inaugurated a 480 km, 500 kV line linking Datka and Sughd substations. 68 A new technical code for synchronized operations was also signed, laying the groundwork for parallel balancing. On the Afghan side, construction is 70 % complete, though an additional$100 million in financing is report edly needed. 69 Beyond CASA, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Azerbaijan signed a trilateral MoU in 2024 to develop a“Green En ergy Corridor” linking Central Asia to Europe. 70 The project envisions a high-voltage submarine cable beneath the Caspian, overland lines through the South Caucasus, and a link to the EU via the Black Sea. In 2025, the three TSOs established a joint venture, Green Corridor Alliance, to coordinate this initiative. 71 Though still at the feasibility stage, it signals a strategic ambition to build a future Caspian-Black Sea“supergrid,” 72 connecting asynchronous systems via HVDC and advanced digital control. Uzbekistan has recently proposed to connect the region to China’s grid through new high-voltage lines and potential long-term synchronization. 73 Meanwhile, Kazakhstan operates in sync with Russia’s Unified Power System via CAPS, providing emergency balancing and mutual trade. 74 Its approach exemplifies a dual-track strategy: maintain synchronized flows with Russia while building technical capacity for eastward and westward interconnections, consistent with its broader“multi-vector” foreign policy. These external linkages reflect the rising role of electricity as a geoeconomic vector. Cross-border flows can deliver economic benefits but also heighten institutional and security challenges. Their success will hinge on improved governance, cyber resilience, and credible domestic system upgrades. The EU’s Role in Central Asia’s Power Transition: Strategic Gaps, System Support, and Long-Term Levers The European Union has a clear strategic interest in supporting electricity sector infrastructure and reform in Central Asia. The region’s importance as a source of clean power and an integral part of a future corridor for inter-regional electricity trade is increasing. As such, ensuring the interoperability and resilience of Central Asia’s grids, aligns directly with the EU’s long-term objectives. Reliable power systems underpin economic development, renewable energy integration, and regional cooperation- goals that mirror the EU’s Global Gateway priorities, including climate action, sustainable connectivity, and geoeconomic diversification. At the pioneer EU-Central Asia Summit in April 2025, the European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen underscored this perspective. She highlighted transport corridors, critical raw materials, clean energy, and digital connectivity as the four pillars of future cooperation between the regions. 75 In this light, the effectiveness of the €12 billion investment package the Head of Commission pledged(over half of which will be directed to hydropower and climate) 76 at the Summit, will ultimately depend on the availability of robust electricity grids that are often the neglected yet critical enablers of all four pillars. The EU’s current engagement already reflects the emphasis on both the“hard” and“soft” dimensions of power systems. It spans multilateral coordination, bilateral partnerships, and financing through international financial institutions, particularly the EBRD and EIB. These efforts are guided by the 2019 EU Strategy for Central Asia, the 2023 Joint Roadmap, and the Team Europe Initiative on Water, Energy, and Climate. Over€700 million has been pledged for energy, water, and climate-related projects in the re67 CASA-1000.“Home.” https://www.casa-1000.org/ru/home-ru/. Accessed July 23, 2025. 68 Abdrakhmanova, Gulmira. 2025.“Kyrgyz Republic and Tajikistan Launched HVDC‘Datka-Sugd’Line As Part of the CASA-1000.” Kazinform, March 31, 2025. https://www. inform.kz/ru/kirgizstan-i-tadzhikistan-zapustili-lep-datkasugd-v-ramkah-proekta-casa-1000-de9e99. Accessed July 28, 2025. 69 BNE Intellinews.“Taliban Seek$100mn from World Bank to Restart Work on CASA-1000 Electricity Transmission Project.” BNE Intellinews, April 2, 2025. https://www. intellinews.com/taliban-seek-100mn-from-world-bank-to-restart-work-on-casa-1000-electricity-transmission-project-374739/. Accessed July 23, 2025. 70 Abbasova, Vusala.“Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan Sign MoU to Merge Energy Systems.” Caspian News, May 4, 2024. https://caspiannews.com/news-detail/azerbaijan-kazakhstan-uzbekistan-sign-mou-to-merge-energy-systems-2024-5-4-0/. Accessed July 23, 2025. 71 Jalolova, Sadokat. 2025.“Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, and Kazakhstan Launch Joint Venture for Green Energy Corridor.” Times of Central Asia, July 7, 2025. https://timesca. com/uzbekistan-azerbaijan-and-kazakhstan-launch-joint-venture-for-green-energy-corridor/. Accessed July 28, 2025. 72 In O’Sullivan, Overland, and Sandalow . The Geopolitics of Renewable Energy,“supergrids” are defined as multinational electricity grids designed for resource-sharing and economies of scale. 73 Mamadaminov, Umid.“China, Central Asian Countries Discuss Unified Power Grid Project— Deputy Energy Minister of Uzbekistan.” Gazeta.uz, June 21, 2025. https:// www.gazeta.uz/en/2025/06/21/ca-china-power-grid/. Accessed July 23, 2025. 74 Podkovalnikov, Sergey, and Lyudmila Chudinova.“Electric Power Partnership Between Russia and Central Asian Countries.”[In Russian]. Energeticheskaya Politika, May 7, 2024. https://energypolicy.ru/elektroenergeticheskoe-partnerstvo-rossii-i-stran-czentralnoj-azii/regiony/2024/16/07/. Accessed July 21, 2025. 75 European Commission. Speech by President von der Leyen at the Plenary Session of the First EU-Central Asia Summit. Speech, April 4, 2025. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/ presscorner/api/files/document/print/hu/speech_25_976/SPEECH_25_976_EN.pdf. Accessed September 1, 2025. 76 European Commission. 1 st European Union Central Asia Summit. Factsheet, April, 2025. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/api/files/attachment/881028/ EU-Central %20Asia_Factsheet_2025-04.pdf. Accessed September 1, 2025. 14 Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung e.V.
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Powering the transition : rebuilding Central Asia's electricity grids for regional resilience
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