Voter migration FDP FDP S S o o u u r r c c e e : : I I n n f f r r a a t t e e s s t t d d i i m m a a p p E E x x i i t t P P o o l l l l . . –40,000 –100,000 –120,000 –120,000 –140,000 –140,000 –260,000 –890,000 –1,350,000 F F i i g g . . 1 1 8 8 ‌ Non-voters Linke Other SPD First Voters/ Deceased Greens BSW AfD CDU/CSU Voter migration Non-voters F F i i g g . . 1 1 9 9 ‌ +40,000 FDP Voter migration FDP Non-voters FDP –110,000 –160,000 –40,000 –250,000 –100,000 –290,000 –120,000 –400,000 –120,000 –140,000 –900,000 –140,000 –1,810,000 Greens Other Non-voters SPD Linke Linke Other BSW SPD CFiDrsUt /VCoStUers/ Deceased AfD Greens S S o o u u r r c c e e : : I I n n f f r r a a t t e e s s t t d d i i m m a a p p E E x x i i t t P P o o l l l l . . –260,000 BSW According to the preliminary final result, 23 candidates were unlikely to become a Member of Parliament despite rece S i o v u i rc n e g : In t f h ra e tes m t d o im s a t p f E i x rs it t Po v l o l. tes in their constituency(Die Bundeswahlleiterin 2025). These constituencies will not have a direct representation by a parliamentarian. This has already happened in the past, for example, when a man­date has been returned or the member of parliament has passed away and the person moving up from the state list com V e o s t fr e o r m m a d ig iff r e a re t n i t o c n on N sti o tu n e ­n v cy o . ters –890,000 AfD Eig –1 h , t 3 e 5 e 0 n ,0 c 0 o 0 nstituency winners for C th D e U C /C D S U U and CSU will probably not receive a Bundestag mandate. Another six will arise in Baden-Württemberg, five in Hessen, three in Rhine­land-Palatinate, three in Bavaria and one in Schles­w­ ig­Holstein. The AfD will probably have four such constituen­cies(one each in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Brandenburg, Saxony-Anhalt and Saxony). The SPD will have to relinquish one overhang mandate in Bremen due to the new electoral law. 20 Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung e.V. –110,000 –40,000 FDP Greens